TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107078
Played Sep 10Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119711411––
Iolanta Yevtodii
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:52 and never touched — 85.5% is still 85.5%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
85.5%
85.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Iolanta Yevtodii below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 73 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 85.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 0–3 Iolanta Yevtodii Polina Pashchenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Yevtodii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Yevtodii
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1539 vs Yevtodii 1919
Yevtodii
Correct
both rated, 380 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 40% vs Yevtodii 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 50% vs Yevtodii 70%
Yevtodii
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko +2 · Yevtodii -3
Yevtodii
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Yevtodii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yevtodii form (40%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 6.50 / Yevtodii 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Yevtodii)-0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107078
Pashchenko6.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Yevtodii1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePashchenko0wins
AwayYevtodii3wins
Yevtodii leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pashchenko1Yevtodii2n = 3Yevtodii took 2 of 3
S2Pashchenko1Yevtodii2n = 3Yevtodii took 2 of 3
S3Pashchenko0Yevtodii3n = 3Yevtodii took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPashchenkoYevtodiiP − YBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match31.040.0−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoYevtodiiBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 129 vs 105 / 14654.3%71.9%70 / 129 vs 105 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiPashchenko 6.50/Yevtodii 1.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.5%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Yevtodii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko—911741I. Yevtodii—11911113
LSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko—10890I. Yevtodii—1211113
LMay 29 · 11:30P. Pashchenko—134991I. Yevtodii—111111113
P. Pashchenko10
WSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840LSep 9 · 09:00P. Pashchenko3.75211981N. Plokhotniuk1.2511911113LSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113LSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113LSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113
I. Yevtodii10
LSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113LSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890WSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113WSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862
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