TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107108
Played Sep 10Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191113411611––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 73.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 6–4 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Yevtodii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Yevtodii
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1916 vs Rzhevska 1575
Yevtodii
Wrong
both rated, 341 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 40% vs Rzhevska 20%
Yevtodii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 70% vs Rzhevska 50%
Yevtodii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii -3 · Rzhevska -2
Yevtodii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Yevtodii) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yevtodii form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.25 / Rzhevska 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Yevtodii)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107108
Yevtodii1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rzhevska3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYevtodii6wins
AwayRzhevska4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderYevtodii leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii50%2 of 4
AwayRzhevska33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii4Rzhevska6n = 10Rzhevska took 6 of 10
S2Yevtodii4Rzhevska6n = 10Rzhevska took 6 of 10
S3Yevtodii7Rzhevska3n = 10Yevtodii took 7 of 10
S4Yevtodii6Rzhevska3n = 9Yevtodii took 6 of 9
S5Yevtodii2Rzhevska2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYevtodiiRzhevskaY − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.839.5+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 145 vs 145 / 26471.7%54.9%104 / 145 vs 145 / 264Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.25/Rzhevska 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.4%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii—7650A. Rzhevska—1111113
WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii—9101111113A. Rzhevska—11128862
LJul 7 · 07:00I. Yevtodii—11512572A. Rzhevska—9111011113
LJun 25 · 06:00I. Yevtodii—811111042A. Rzhevska—116912113
WJun 24 · 06:05I. Yevtodii—11511113A. Rzhevska—611541
WJun 18 · 08:30I. Yevtodii—981111113A. Rzhevska—11115862
WMay 30 · 10:35I. Yevtodii—91111113A. Rzhevska—118891
WApr 27 · 10:00I. Yevtodii—11116113A. Rzhevska—741161
WApr 26 · 17:40I. Yevtodii—131111133A. Rzhevska—1597111
LApr 6 · 12:10I. Yevtodii—129331A. Rzhevska—101111113
I. Yevtodii10
WSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko6.50911741I. Yevtodii1.1011911113LSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890WSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113WSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862
A. Rzhevska10
LSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740LSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113LSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540WSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113WSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862
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