TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100020
Played Sep 9Finished
Anna Rzhevska
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111311511911––
Alina Ovriakh
Away
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 86.8% is still 86.8%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
86.8%
86.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Rzhevska above · Alina Ovriakh below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 86.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Anna Rzhevska 2–11 Alina Ovriakh Anna Rzhevska has won 2 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Ovriakh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-11 in 13
Ovriakh
Correct
gap of 9 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rzhevska 1575 vs Ovriakh 1873
Ovriakh
Correct
both rated, 298 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rzhevska 80% vs Ovriakh 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rzhevska 70% vs Ovriakh 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rzhevska -1 · Ovriakh +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Ovriakh) · live re-read · sealed at 87% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRzhevska 5.00 / Ovriakh 1.14
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Ovriakh)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100020
Rzhevska5.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Ovriakh1.14
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRzhevska2wins
AwayOvriakh8wins
Ovriakh leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRzhevska66.7%2 of 3
AwayOvriakh100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rzhevska3Ovriakh7n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S2Rzhevska2Ovriakh8n = 10Ovriakh took 8 of 10
S3Rzhevska2Ovriakh8n = 10Ovriakh took 8 of 10
S4Rzhevska2Ovriakh3n = 5Ovriakh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricRzhevskaOvriakhR − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.135.8−5.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRzhevskaOvriakhBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 260 vs 53 / 8155.4%65.4%144 / 260 vs 53 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhRzhevska 5.00/Ovriakh 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.9%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 11:30A. Rzhevska—9970A. Ovriakh—1111113
LJul 23 · 07:30A. Rzhevska—31070A. Ovriakh—1112113
LJul 22 · 08:30A. Rzhevska—1010100A. Ovriakh—1212123
LJul 22 · 06:00A. Rzhevska—611681A. Ovriakh—11711113
LJul 7 · 05:00A. Rzhevska—5980A. Ovriakh—1111113
WJul 6 · 09:39A. Rzhevska—111110113A. Ovriakh—691271
LJul 6 · 08:30A. Rzhevska—12480A. Ovriakh—1411113
LJun 25 · 10:00A. Rzhevska—491161A. Ovriakh—11117113
WJun 24 · 08:35A. Rzhevska—11711113A. Ovriakh—911971
LJun 18 · 10:00A. Rzhevska—119791A. Ovriakh—31111113
A. Rzhevska10
LSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540WSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113WSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192
A. Ovriakh10
WSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2.6384120A. Ovriakh1.441111143LSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113WAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.509970WAug 13 · 09:30U. Dronova2.005680A. Ovriakh1.731111113WAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113WAug 13 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.25981113113A. Kurtenko3.75111131162LAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.83971191A. Ovriakh1.8311118113LAug 12 · 09:30A. Ovriakh1.50118951U. Dronova2.5091111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Rzhevska
A. Ovriakh
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.