TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13100021
Played Sep 9Finished
Iolanta Yevtodii
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611511––––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeIolanta Yevtodii to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIolanta Yevtodii above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Iolanta Yevtodii at 77.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Iolanta Yevtodii 6–3 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Yevtodii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Yevtodii
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yevtodii 1966 vs Rzhevska 1571
Yevtodii
Wrong
both rated, 395 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yevtodii 80% vs Rzhevska 60%
Yevtodii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yevtodii 90% vs Rzhevska 60%
Yevtodii
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yevtodii -1 · Rzhevska -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Yevtodii) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYevtodii 1.17 / Rzhevska 4.50
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Yevtodii)+1.2pp
Setka Cup Women · #13100021
Yevtodii1.17
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rzhevska4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeYevtodii6wins
AwayRzhevska3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderYevtodii leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYevtodii50%2 of 4
AwayRzhevska20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yevtodii4Rzhevska5n = 9Rzhevska took 5 of 9
S2Yevtodii4Rzhevska5n = 9Rzhevska took 5 of 9
S3Yevtodii7Rzhevska2n = 9Yevtodii took 7 of 9
S4Yevtodii6Rzhevska3n = 9Yevtodii took 6 of 9
S5Yevtodii2Rzhevska2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricYevtodiiRzhevskaY − RBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match42.240.2+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYevtodiiRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 149 vs 144 / 26172.5%55.2%108 / 149 vs 144 / 261Avg sets wonper match2.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YevtodiiYevtodii 1.17/Rzhevska 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80.6%
Yevtodii · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii—9101111113A. Rzhevska—11128862
LJul 7 · 07:00I. Yevtodii—11512572A. Rzhevska—9111011113
LJun 25 · 06:00I. Yevtodii—811111042A. Rzhevska—116912113
WJun 24 · 06:05I. Yevtodii—11511113A. Rzhevska—611541
WJun 18 · 08:30I. Yevtodii—981111113A. Rzhevska—11115862
WMay 30 · 10:35I. Yevtodii—91111113A. Rzhevska—118891
WApr 27 · 10:00I. Yevtodii—11116113A. Rzhevska—741161
WApr 26 · 17:40I. Yevtodii—131111133A. Rzhevska—1597111
LApr 6 · 12:10I. Yevtodii—129331A. Rzhevska—101111113
I. Yevtodii10
LSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890WSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113WSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133WAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682WAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113WAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862WAug 13 · 07:00U. Dronova4.0011731162I. Yevtodii1.22611118113WAug 13 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.83811711113A. Ovriakh1.8311911792WAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651
A. Rzhevska10
LSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113LSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540WSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113WSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LAug 13 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.229101111113A. Rzhevska4.0011128862
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