TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123186
Played Sep 13Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191141412––––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 61 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 61–25 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 25 of their 86 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 03:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Yureneva
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-25 in 86
Yureneva
Correct
gap of 36 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1521 vs Rzhevska 1633
Rzhevska
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 40% vs Rzhevska 60%
Rzhevska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 60% vs Rzhevska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva -1 · Rzhevska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Yureneva)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 1.61 / Rzhevska 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Yureneva)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13123186
Yureneva1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 124 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it88% 98 of 111
Rzhevska2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 36 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva7wins
AwayRzhevska3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva80%4 of 5
AwayRzhevska40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva5Rzhevska5n = 10split evenly
S2Yureneva3Rzhevska7n = 10Rzhevska took 7 of 10
S3Yureneva8Rzhevska2n = 10Yureneva took 8 of 10
S4Yureneva6Rzhevska2n = 8Yureneva took 6 of 8
S5Yureneva2Rzhevska1n = 3Yureneva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaRzhevskaY − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.535.2+6.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 584 vs 148 / 26860.5%55.2%353 / 584 vs 148 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaYureneva 1.61/Rzhevska 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Yureneva won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:30S. Yureneva331111113A. Rzhevska195860
LAug 21 · 09:45S. Yureneva511191110102A. Rzhevska45511512123
WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva49971111113A. Rzhevska4311119482
WAug 20 · 14:10S. Yureneva528111012113A. Rzhevska44118121032
WAug 11 · 10:49S. Yureneva3911611113A. Rzhevska24311911
LAug 11 · 09:35S. Yureneva4091011101A. Rzhevska4111126123
WAug 5 · 09:00S. Yureneva4311711143A. Rzhevska376118121
WAug 4 · 09:00S. Yureneva4111811113A. Rzhevska26311661
LJul 30 · 06:30S. Yureneva2494110A. Rzhevska351111133
WJul 16 · 07:30S. Yureneva4381311113A. Rzhevska381111971
S. Yureneva10
LSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 13 · 11:10U. Dronova2.10512871A. Rzhevska1.67111011113LSep 10 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.1412611113A. Rzhevska5.001011451WSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113LSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740LSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102
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