TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107087
Played Sep 10Finished
Alina Ovriakh
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611114115––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeAlina Ovriakh to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlina Ovriakh above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Alina Ovriakh at 84.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Alina Ovriakh 12–2 Anna Rzhevska Anna Rzhevska has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Ovriakh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-2 in 14
Ovriakh
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ovriakh 1910 vs Rzhevska 1617
Ovriakh
Correct
both rated, 293 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ovriakh 80% vs Rzhevska 60%
Ovriakh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ovriakh 80% vs Rzhevska 60%
Ovriakh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ovriakh +4 · Rzhevska +2
Ovriakh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Ovriakh) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOvriakh 1.14 / Rzhevska 5.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Ovriakh)+5.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107087
Ovriakh1.14
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Rzhevska5.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOvriakh8wins
AwayRzhevska2wins
Ovriakh leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOvriakh100%8 of 8
AwayRzhevskan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ovriakh8Rzhevska2n = 10Ovriakh took 8 of 10
S2Ovriakh7Rzhevska3n = 10Ovriakh took 7 of 10
S3Ovriakh8Rzhevska2n = 10Ovriakh took 8 of 10
S4Ovriakh3Rzhevska2n = 5Ovriakh took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOvriakhRzhevskaO − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.629.7+6.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOvriakhRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 87 vs 147 / 26666.7%55.3%58 / 87 vs 147 / 266Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OvriakhOvriakh 1.14/Rzhevska 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.8%
Ovriakh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ovriakh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 10:00A. Ovriakh—111111113A. Rzhevska—513591
WAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh—1111113A. Rzhevska—9970
WJul 23 · 07:30A. Ovriakh—1112113A. Rzhevska—31070
WJul 22 · 08:30A. Ovriakh—1212123A. Rzhevska—1010100
WJul 22 · 06:00A. Ovriakh—11711113A. Rzhevska—611681
WJul 7 · 05:00A. Ovriakh—1111113A. Rzhevska—5980
LJul 6 · 09:39A. Ovriakh—691271A. Rzhevska—111110113
WJul 6 · 08:30A. Ovriakh—1411113A. Rzhevska—12480
WJun 25 · 10:00A. Ovriakh—11117113A. Rzhevska—491161
LJun 24 · 08:35A. Ovriakh—911971A. Rzhevska—11711113
A. Ovriakh10
WSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113WSep 10 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk2.209540A. Ovriakh1.611111113WSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970WSep 10 · 05:30I. Yevtodii1.838950A. Ovriakh1.831111113LSep 9 · 11:00N. Plokhotniuk1.911112109113A. Ovriakh1.80610121182WSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113WSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2.6384120A. Ovriakh1.441111143LSep 9 · 06:30I. Yevtodii1.831181211123A. Ovriakh1.83411147102WSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113WAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.509970
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113LSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740LSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113LSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540WSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113WSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113LAug 13 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.509970
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