TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123175
Played Sep 13Finished
Ulana Dronova
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 2
Set by set
41141166––––
Alina Kurtenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingUlana Dronova above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-6
Point 42 set 3, 6-6 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 54.0%
42 points played in total.
H2H Ulana Dronova 4–3 Alina Kurtenko Alina Kurtenko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 03:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dronova 1511 vs Kurtenko 1652
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dronova 20% vs Kurtenko 80%
Kurtenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dronova 20% vs Kurtenko 70%
Kurtenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dronova -3 · Kurtenko +1
Dronova
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dronova) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDronova 1.83 / Kurtenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dronova)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123175
Dronova1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kurtenko1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDronova4wins
AwayKurtenko3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderDronova leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDronova80%4 of 5
AwayKurtenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dronova5Kurtenko2n = 7Dronova took 5 of 7
S2Dronova2Kurtenko5n = 7Kurtenko took 5 of 7
S3Dronova3Kurtenko4n = 7Kurtenko took 4 of 7
S4Dronova1Kurtenko2n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricDronovaKurtenkoD − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match35.033.1+1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDronovaKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 95 vs 118 / 22143.2%53.4%41 / 95 vs 118 / 221Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoDronova 1.83/Kurtenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dronova · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–2
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 20 · 13:40U. Dronova28117641A. Kurtenko3851111113
WAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova351113113A. Kurtenko2331190
WAug 12 · 11:30U. Dronova45116611113A. Kurtenko3731111932
WJul 16 · 11:00U. Dronova49119116123A. Kurtenko44411811102
LApr 7 · 09:30U. Dronova248880A. Kurtenko331111113
WFeb 25 · 14:40U. Dronova331111113A. Kurtenko197930
LFeb 11 · 08:35U. Dronova31128110A. Kurtenko381411133
U. Dronova10
LSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113LSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:10U. Dronova2.10512871A. Rzhevska1.67111011113WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113LAug 20 · 17:40U. Dronova1.7311114142A. Rzhevska2.00431111113WAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113LAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103LSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.