TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123176
Played Sep 13Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711711811––
Viktoria Kurtenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktoria Kurtenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Viktoria Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Viktoria Kurtenko at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 16–11 Viktoria Kurtenko Viktoria Kurtenko has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 03:03What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-11 in 27
Yureneva
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1521 vs Kurtenko 1547
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 40% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 50% vs Kurtenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva -1 · Kurtenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurtenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 2.00 / Kurtenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kurtenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123176
Yureneva2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 21 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Kurtenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 51 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva5wins
AwayKurtenko5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva100%5 of 5
AwayKurtenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Yureneva6Kurtenko4n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S3Yureneva4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Yureneva3Kurtenko1n = 4Yureneva took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaKurtenkoY − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.032.00.0per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 586 vs 96 / 18460.4%52.2%354 / 586 vs 96 / 184Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaYureneva 2.00/Kurtenko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 09:30S. Yureneva184770V. Kurtenko331111113
LAug 20 · 13:10S. Yureneva2510960V. Kurtenko341211113
WAug 11 · 08:35S. Yureneva331111113V. Kurtenko227870
WAug 4 · 08:00S. Yureneva331111113V. Kurtenko218760
WJul 30 · 09:30S. Yureneva4211911113V. Kurtenko37911981
WJul 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva4011117113V. Kurtenko29731181
LJul 16 · 09:30S. Yureneva32811491V. Kurtenko4211911113
LJun 11 · 08:00S. Yureneva183690V. Kurtenko331111113
LJun 9 · 10:05S. Yureneva4681171192V. Kurtenko47118116113
WJun 2 · 10:05S. Yureneva331111113V. Kurtenko225980
S. Yureneva10
LSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103WSep 13 · 12:10S. Yureneva1.611111143A. Rzhevska2.2094120LSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143
V. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 14:10V. Kurtenko3.00119591A. Rzhevska1.3671111103WSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113
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