TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123208
Played Sep 13Finished
Viktoria Kurtenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911511910––
Anna Rzhevska
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:13 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeAnna Rzhevska to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktoria Kurtenko above · Anna Rzhevska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-10
Point 73 set 4, 9-10 — our read held Anna Rzhevska at 75.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Viktoria Kurtenko 4–16 Anna Rzhevska Viktoria Kurtenko has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Rzhevska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-16 in 20
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1556 vs Rzhevska 1613
Rzhevska
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 60% vs Rzhevska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Rzhevska 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +1 · Rzhevska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Rzhevska) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.00 / Rzhevska 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Rzhevska)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123208
Kurtenko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog29% won 11 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Rzhevska1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 46 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko1wins
AwayRzhevska9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRzhevska leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayRzhevska100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko3Rzhevska7n = 10Rzhevska took 7 of 10
S2Kurtenko2Rzhevska8n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S3Kurtenko2Rzhevska8n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko0Rzhevska3n = 3Rzhevska took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoRzhevskaK − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match25.537.4−11.9per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoRzhevskaBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 183 vs 148 / 26952.5%55%96 / 183 vs 148 / 269Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaKurtenko 3.00/Rzhevska 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Rzhevska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 10:30V. Kurtenko351211123A. Rzhevska29109100
LAug 20 · 11:10V. Kurtenko3891111432A. Rzhevska49118811113
LAug 11 · 06:35V. Kurtenko31154481A. Rzhevska46131111113
LAug 5 · 06:30V. Kurtenko185940A. Rzhevska331111113
LAug 4 · 06:00V. Kurtenko165650A. Rzhevska331111113
LJul 30 · 08:30V. Kurtenko27154531A. Rzhevska46131111113
LJul 16 · 10:30V. Kurtenko311110100A. Rzhevska371312123
LApr 27 · 06:00V. Kurtenko153840A. Rzhevska331111113
LApr 26 · 11:40V. Kurtenko2779110A. Rzhevska351111133
LApr 6 · 15:10V. Kurtenko171970A. Rzhevska331111113
V. Kurtenko10
WSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580
A. Rzhevska10
LSep 13 · 12:10S. Yureneva1.611111143A. Rzhevska2.2094120WSep 13 · 11:10U. Dronova2.10512871A. Rzhevska1.67111011113LSep 10 · 11:30A. Ovriakh1.1412611113A. Rzhevska5.001011451WSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110WSep 10 · 08:00I. Yevtodii1.251111461A. Rzhevska3.7591311113LSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740LSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 11:30I. Yevtodii1.177650A. Rzhevska4.501111113LSep 9 · 10:00A. Rzhevska5.00513591A. Ovriakh1.14111111113LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123
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