TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122027
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Reznychenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10124111012––––
Valeriy Melnik
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeValeriy Melnik to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Reznychenko above · Valeriy Melnik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Valeriy Melnik at 72.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Roman Reznychenko 79–150 Valeriy Melnik Roman Reznychenko has won 79 of their 229 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Melnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
79-150 in 229
Melnik
Correct
gap of 71 in 229, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reznychenko 1570 vs Melnik 1727
Melnik
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reznychenko 40% vs Melnik 80%
Melnik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reznychenko 50% vs Melnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reznychenko -3 · Melnik +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Melnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReznychenko 3.00 / Melnik 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Melnik)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122027
Reznychenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 97 of 298
Down 0–1, comes back12% 21 of 174
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 120
Melnik1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 132 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 70 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it86% 100 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReznychenko4wins
AwayMelnik6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMelnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReznychenko75%3 of 4
AwayMelnik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reznychenko4Melnik6n = 10Melnik took 6 of 10
S2Reznychenko3Melnik7n = 10Melnik took 7 of 10
S3Reznychenko3Melnik7n = 10Melnik took 7 of 10
S4Reznychenko2Melnik4n = 6Melnik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricReznychenkoMelnikR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.138.8−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReznychenkoMelnikBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 730 vs 400 / 71532.7%55.9%239 / 730 vs 400 / 715Avg sets wonper match1.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelnikReznychenko 3.00/Melnik 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Melnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Melnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 17:25R. Reznychenko51119119113V. Melnik4591161182
LSep 12 · 24:55R. Reznychenko28571151V. Melnik4011117113
LSep 4 · 22:25R. Reznychenko2064100V. Melnik341111123
WAug 29 · 18:25R. Reznychenko46111112123V. Melnik377614101
LAug 28 · 23:55R. Reznychenko205870V. Melnik331111113
WAug 23 · 17:25R. Reznychenko541011146133V. Melnik551291211112
LAug 22 · 17:25R. Reznychenko143920V. Melnik331111113
LAug 22 · 24:55R. Reznychenko321121271V. Melnik4261114113
WAug 15 · 17:25R. Reznychenko4012116113V. Melnik361071181
LAug 15 · 24:55R. Reznychenko269980V. Melnik331111113
R. Reznychenko10
LSep 13 · 16:25R. Reznychenko6.005780A. Tuzhylin1.111111113LSep 13 · 14:55R. Reznychenko3.25670Y. Masko1.3311112LSep 13 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.38471581R. Cherevko1.53111113113WSep 12 · 19:55Y. Masko1.308111061R. Reznychenko3.4011412113WSep 12 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.109680R. Reznychenko6.501111103WSep 12 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3391161182R. Reznychenko3.25119119113WSep 12 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.6180R. Reznychenko2.20111LSep 12 · 13:25E. Pismenniy1.809121111113R. Reznychenko1.9111148572LSep 12 · 04:25E. Pismenniy1.8091211113R. Reznychenko1.911110691WSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121
V. Melnik10
WSep 13 · 18:25V. Melnik2.101111113A. Tuzhylin1.675880WSep 13 · 17:25V. Melnik1.91951111113R. Cherevko1.8011117762WSep 13 · 15:55V. Melnik1.50531111113E. Pismenniy2.5011118792LSep 13 · 13:55V. Melnik1.6511991192Y. Masko2.05711118113WSep 12 · 19:25E. Pismenniy2.63711911112V. Melnik1.44115119133WSep 12 · 18:25V. Melnik1.9181112113R. Cherevko1.801191091LSep 12 · 17:25V. Melnik1.3391161182R. Reznychenko3.25119119113LSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 13:55V. Melnik2.106720A. Tuzhylin1.67111153WSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980
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