TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116677
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113511511––––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 75.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 0–5 Ihor Torhachov Oleksandr Kolos has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1194 vs Torhachov 1263
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 40% vs Torhachov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 50% vs Torhachov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -3 · Torhachov +1
Kolos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Torhachov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torhachov form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 3.50 / Torhachov 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Torhachov)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116677
Kolos3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 23 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back18% 6 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Torhachov1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 102 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKolos0wins
AwayTorhachov5wins
Torhachov leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolosn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTorhachov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos1Torhachov4n = 5Torhachov took 4 of 5
S2Kolos2Torhachov3n = 5Torhachov took 3 of 5
S3Kolos1Torhachov4n = 5Torhachov took 4 of 5
S4Kolos0Torhachov4n = 4Torhachov took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away480%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKolosTorhachovK − TBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match29.842.2−12.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 297 vs 257 / 51252.5%50.2%156 / 297 vs 257 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovKolos 3.50/Torhachov 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 29 · 06:30O. Kolos—13151081I. Torhachov—151312113
LApr 11 · 05:00O. Kolos—114531I. Torhachov—71111113
LFeb 11 · 05:30O. Kolos—681361I. Torhachov—111111113
LJan 18 · 13:00O. Kolos—5570I. Torhachov—1111113
LNov 16 · 16:30O. Kolos—612661I. Torhachov—111011113
O. Kolos10
LSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 5 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.2588100O. Kolos3.751111123WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos3.00121399113R. Boklah1.361011111132WSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123LSep 5 · 06:00Y. Priadko1.8014711133O. Kolos1.9112116111WSep 5 · 05:00V. Ananiev2.101111121262O. Kolos1.675131014113LAug 29 · 11:30O. Kolos4.503590S. Priadko1.171111113
I. Torhachov10
WSep 12 · 10:00R. Boklah2.254870I. Torhachov1.571111113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971LSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070WSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250WSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111
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