TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118350
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Boklah
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811711––––
Ihor Torhachov
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:53 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeIhor Torhachov to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Boklah above · Ihor Torhachov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Ihor Torhachov at 61.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Roman Boklah 39–80 Ihor Torhachov Roman Boklah has won 39 of their 119 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 01:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Torhachov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-80 in 119
Torhachov
Correct
gap of 41 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boklah 1209 vs Torhachov 1251
Torhachov
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boklah 60% vs Torhachov 40%
Boklah
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boklah 40% vs Torhachov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boklah +2 · Torhachov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Torhachov) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torhachov form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoklah 2.25 / Torhachov 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Torhachov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13118350
Boklah2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog29% won 55 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back13% 17 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 82
Torhachov1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 102 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it85% 66 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoklah5wins
AwayTorhachov5wins
8 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoklah66.7%2 of 3
AwayTorhachov57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boklah3Torhachov7n = 10Torhachov took 7 of 10
S2Boklah5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S3Boklah7Torhachov3n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S4Boklah5Torhachov5n = 10split evenly
S5Boklah4Torhachov4n = 8split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoklahTorhachovB − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match45.145.0+0.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoklahTorhachovBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 616 vs 256 / 51142.2%50.1%260 / 616 vs 256 / 511Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorhachovBoklah 2.25/Torhachov 1.57
Hit
What we said
62.9%
Torhachov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Torhachov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 14:00R. Boklah—731191I. Torhachov—11118113
WSep 6 · 14:30R. Boklah—8101114113I. Torhachov—111261292
LSep 2 · 14:00R. Boklah—117101252I. Torhachov—5111210113
LAug 29 · 04:30R. Boklah—71191172I. Torhachov—118118113
WAug 26 · 16:00R. Boklah—119119113I. Torhachov—81181182
LAug 23 · 13:30R. Boklah—71111632I. Torhachov—112611113
WAug 19 · 14:30R. Boklah—116114113I. Torhachov—81171162
WAug 12 · 17:29R. Boklah—71111113I. Torhachov—118871
LAug 12 · 13:00R. Boklah—911611112I. Torhachov—116119133
WAug 8 · 08:30R. Boklah—9111115113I. Torhachov—11661772
R. Boklah10
WSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113WSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060WSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 6 · 17:29R. Boklah4.508680V. Ziakun1.171111113LSep 6 · 16:00S. Priadko1.6181111103R. Boklah2.20115931
I. Torhachov10
LSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971LSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070WSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250WSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 13:00I. Torhachov4.335950S. Miroshnychenko1.201111113LSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733
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