TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115326
Played Sep 12Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111191311––––
Marek Bereiter
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:06 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMarek Bereiter to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · Marek Bereiter below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 68 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Marek Bereiter at 55.6%
68 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pagac
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pagac 1539 vs Bereiter 1673
Bereiter
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pagac 60% vs Bereiter 40%
Pagac
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pagac 70% vs Bereiter 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pagac -1 · Bereiter -3
Bereiter
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pagac) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.67 / Bereiter 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bereiter)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115326
Pagac1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 125 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it92% 56 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it78% 85 of 109
Bereiter2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 19 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back37% 7 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacBereiterBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 653 vs 36 / 6647.2%54.6%308 / 653 vs 36 / 66Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacPagac 1.67/Bereiter 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pagac won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Pagac10
WSep 12 · 13:00Z. Pagac1.5711811113M. Bereiter2.25811871LSep 12 · 11:30A. Walek2.201111113Z. Pagac1.618870WSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:30T. Kypr1.55113118122Z. Pagac2.30711611143WSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680LSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113LSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:00D. Unzeitig2.2511751452Z. Pagac1.579111112113
M. Bereiter10
LSep 12 · 13:00Z. Pagac1.5711811113M. Bereiter2.25811871LSep 12 · 11:00D. Unzeitig2.38111287113M. Bereiter1.53610111192LSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070
Upcoming Matches
Z. Pagac
M. Bereiter
Nothing scheduled
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