TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114739
Played Sep 12Finished
Daniel Unzeitig
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161210811711119
Marek Bereiter
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Bereiter to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Marek Bereiter below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Marek Bereiter at 58.2%
96 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 1–3 Marek Bereiter Daniel Unzeitig has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bereiter
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Bereiter
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1576 vs Bereiter 1679
Bereiter
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 40% vs Bereiter 60%
Bereiter
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 40% vs Bereiter 60%
Bereiter
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig -1 · Bereiter -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bereiter) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 2.38 / Bereiter 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Bereiter)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114739
Unzeitig2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 40 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 35
Bereiter1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeUnzeitig1wins
AwayBereiter3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBereiter leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig2Bereiter2n = 4split evenly
S2Unzeitig1Bereiter3n = 4Bereiter took 3 of 4
S3Unzeitig2Bereiter2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricUnzeitigBereiterU − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.835.2−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigBereiterBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 297 vs 36 / 6546.5%55.4%138 / 297 vs 36 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BereiterUnzeitig 2.38/Bereiter 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Bereiter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig—7860M. Bereiter—1111113
LAug 23 · 15:30D. Unzeitig—108111162M. Bereiter—121149113
LJul 21 · 06:00D. Unzeitig—117571M. Bereiter—71111113
WJul 20 · 08:00D. Unzeitig—1112113M. Bereiter—61050
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:00D. Unzeitig2.00111311113M. Holub1.70815861LSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680WSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532LSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961WSep 10 · 21:06D. Unzeitig—713911113T. Petrek—111111232LSep 10 · 20:30D. Unzeitig1.53111081162T. Petrek2.38512117113LSep 10 · 19:00D. Unzeitig2.2511751452Z. Pagac1.579111112113WSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr1.808128111D. Unzeitig1.91111011133LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113
M. Bereiter10
LSep 12 · 10:30M. Bereiter1.571112651A. Walek2.2571411113LSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113WSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:00L. Martinak1.804980M. Bereiter1.911111113WSep 6 · 06:30M. Bereiter1.671317116113A. Walek2.10151571172WSep 5 · 13:28A. Walek1.8521180M. Bereiter1.801113113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Bereiter1.53148811133D. Heczko2.381211118112LSep 5 · 11:30A. Walek1.801112113M. Bereiter1.9181070WSep 5 · 10:00M. Bereiter1.5315118113D. Langer2.381321161LSep 3 · 17:29T. Kypr1.731111113M. Bereiter2.009730
Upcoming Matches
D. Unzeitig
M. Bereiter
Nothing scheduled
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