TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110321
Played Sep 11Finished
Daniel Unzeitig
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116411511115113
Marek Holub
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMarek Holub to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Marek Holub below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 78 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Marek Holub at 64.1%
78 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 8–13 Marek Holub Daniel Unzeitig has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Holub
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-13 in 21
Holub
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1578 vs Holub 1589
Holub
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 40% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 50% vs Holub 30%
Unzeitig
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig -1 · Holub -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 2.50 / Holub 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Holub)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110321
Unzeitig2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 38 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Holub1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 35 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUnzeitig3wins
AwayHolub7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUnzeitig40%2 of 5
AwayHolub80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S2Unzeitig4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S3Unzeitig4Holub6n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Unzeitig3Holub3n = 6split evenly
S5Unzeitig1Holub4n = 5Holub took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUnzeitigHolubU − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.7−2.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 293 vs 151 / 32146.4%47%136 / 293 vs 151 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubUnzeitig 2.50/Holub 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 07:30D. Unzeitig—7980M. Holub—1111113
LAug 17 · 16:59D. Unzeitig—4690M. Holub—1111113
WAug 17 · 16:30D. Unzeitig—1111113M. Holub—5860
LAug 7 · 14:30D. Unzeitig—8960M. Holub—1111113
LJul 13 · 14:00D. Unzeitig—111291052M. Holub—4101112113
WJun 30 · 15:00D. Unzeitig—1461113113M. Holub—1211131182
LJun 24 · 21:00D. Unzeitig—11711782M. Holub—711911113
LJun 24 · 20:00D. Unzeitig—81111472M. Holub—117911113
LJun 24 · 17:00D. Unzeitig—11441172M. Holub—611115113
WJun 24 · 16:30D. Unzeitig—101911113M. Holub—1217411
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961WSep 10 · 21:06D. Unzeitig—713911113T. Petrek—111111232LSep 10 · 20:30D. Unzeitig1.53111081162T. Petrek2.38512117113LSep 10 · 19:00D. Unzeitig2.2511751452Z. Pagac1.579111112113WSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr1.808128111D. Unzeitig1.91111011133LSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113WSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig1.837860M. Bereiter1.831111113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Kypr2.001129101D. Unzeitig1.7341111123WAug 28 · 09:00D. Unzeitig2.2511116113J. Simecek1.57811131
M. Holub10
LSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 9 · 17:30M. Holub2.10151199133L. Kern1.671361111112LSep 9 · 16:30L. Kern1.50941411113M. Holub2.50111112842WSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292WSep 9 · 14:30D. Szotek1.611271191M. Holub2.2014119113LSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172LSep 7 · 20:30M. Holub2.007580M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub1.839720T. Kypr1.831111113
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