TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110086
Played Sep 11Finished
Marek Holub
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118118411811
Tomas Kypr
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Kypr to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Holub above · Tomas Kypr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Kypr at 65.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Marek Holub 1–2 Tomas Kypr Marek Holub has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kypr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1589 vs Kypr 1713
Kypr
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 40% vs Kypr 80%
Kypr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 30% vs Kypr 70%
Kypr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub -2 · Kypr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kypr) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kypr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.25 / Kypr 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kypr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110086
Holub2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 77 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Kypr1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 31 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHolub1wins
AwayKypr2wins
Kypr leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub1Kypr2n = 3Kypr took 2 of 3
S2Holub1Kypr2n = 3Kypr took 2 of 3
S3Holub1Kypr2n = 3Kypr took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricHolubKyprH − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match25.330.3−5.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubKyprBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 322 vs 58 / 10546.9%55.2%151 / 322 vs 58 / 105Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyprHolub 2.25/Kypr 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Kypr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kypr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 21:00M. Holub—9720T. Kypr—1111113
WSep 3 · 19:30M. Holub—1112133T. Kypr—410110
LAug 14 · 15:30M. Holub—5890T. Kypr—1111113
M. Holub10
LSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532LSep 11 · 14:00M. Holub2.201181071Z. Pagac1.6151112113WSep 9 · 17:30M. Holub2.10151199133L. Kern1.671361111112LSep 9 · 16:30L. Kern1.50941411113M. Holub2.50111112842WSep 9 · 15:30M. Holub2.10991114113R. Hudeczek1.67111161292WSep 9 · 14:30D. Szotek1.611271191M. Holub2.2014119113LSep 7 · 21:00R. Hudeczek1.67113138113M. Holub2.10711111172LSep 7 · 20:30M. Holub2.007580M. Chalupa1.731111113LSep 7 · 19:00M. Holub2.20141341162R. Hudeczek1.611611114113LSep 7 · 18:00D. Szotek1.614111311113M. Holub2.2011615842
T. Kypr10
WSep 11 · 15:00Z. Pagac2.10149991T. Kypr1.67121111113WSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961LSep 10 · 21:28T. Kypr1.53661241Z. Pagac2.38111110113WSep 10 · 20:00T. Kypr1.67111111113Z. Pagac2.10813551WSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:00T. Kypr1.808128111D. Unzeitig1.91111011133WSep 6 · 09:30M. Bereiter1.807970T. Kypr1.901111113LSep 6 · 08:00T. Kypr1.737111081M. Bereiter2.0011912113WSep 6 · 07:30A. Walek3.0085130T. Kypr1.361111153WSep 6 · 06:00T. Kypr2.0091111143L. Martinak1.731154121
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