TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103056
Played Sep 9Finished
Jakub Chmielowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13151012118119711
Jakub Krawczyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Chmielowski to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Chmielowski above · Jakub Krawczyk below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 107 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Jakub Chmielowski at 58.2%
107 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Chmielowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chmielowski 1621 vs Krawczyk 1345
Chmielowski
Wrong
both rated, 276 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chmielowski 60% vs Krawczyk 20%
Chmielowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chmielowski 70% vs Krawczyk 30%
Chmielowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chmielowski +2 · Krawczyk -4
Krawczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Chmielowski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krawczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmielowski 1.33 / Krawczyk 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Chmielowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103056
Chmielowski1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 118 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it90% 52 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it72% 94 of 131
Krawczyk3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmielowskiKrawczykBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 726 vs 51 / 13848.9%37%355 / 726 vs 51 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChmielowskiChmielowski 1.33/Krawczyk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.9%
Chmielowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krawczyk won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Chmielowski10
WSep 9 · 21:00J. Chmielowski1.571311113K. Kapik2.2511680WSep 9 · 18:50J. Chmielowski4.33761211113M. Benes1.20111110792WSep 9 · 17:40J. Chmielowski2.00611116113M. Olbrycht1.7311581162LSep 9 · 16:05J. Chmielowski2.5051390A. Daniel1.501115113LSep 9 · 15:00J. Chmielowski4.337620J. Braun1.201111113WSep 3 · 23:20J. Kuzmicz1.6161161182J. Chmielowski2.20118117113WSep 3 · 22:35M. Kolek1.8311814992J. Chmielowski1.836111211113WSep 3 · 22:10J. Chmielowski2.50115911153M. Rutkowski1.50911115132WSep 3 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.7511631152J. Chmielowski1.40811118113WSep 3 · 20:30P. Klos1.1788111192J. Chmielowski4.50111147113
J. Krawczyk10
LSep 9 · 19:15J. Krawczyk6.0011760J. Braun1.111311113LSep 9 · 18:05M. Benes1.221111113J. Krawczyk4.009360LSep 9 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.201111113J. Krawczyk4.337890LSep 9 · 15:25A. Daniel1.2811711113J. Krawczyk3.50611891WSep 9 · 13:55M. Zwolinski2.6513890J. Krawczyk1.421511113LSep 9 · 13:05A. Lilien1.95811119113J. Krawczyk1.7511581162LSep 9 · 12:15J. Krawczyk2.1515811662P. Blocho1.601311611113WSep 9 · 10:35J. Krawczyk1.751111113A. Szoltysek1.959530LSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152WJun 18 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk2.5591181162J. Krawczyk1.43118119113
Upcoming Matches
J. Chmielowski3 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 22:55J. Chmielowski2.00M. Olbrycht1.73—Sep 9 · 23:45J. Chmielowski2.00K. Staszczyk1.73—Sep 10 · 24:10J. Chmielowski2.38M. Rutkowski1.53—Sep 10 · 15:25J. Chmielowski—K. Kolodziej——Sep 10 · 16:55J. Chmielowski—J. Mitas——Sep 10 · 18:05J. Chmielowski—K. Kapik——Sep 10 · 19:15J. Chmielowski—K. Staszczyk——Sep 10 · 20:30J. Chmielowski—M. Olbrycht——Sep 10 · 21:25J. Chmielowski—J. Mitas——Sep 10 · 21:50J. Chmielowski—K. Kapik——
J. Krawczyk
Nothing scheduled
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