TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101107
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151412118––––
Jakub Caban
Away
1.42
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1151412118––––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 11–20 Jakub Caban Piotr Kedzierski has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kedzierski beat Caban 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Caban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Caban form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.65 / Caban 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Caban)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13101107
Kedzierski2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 34 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Caban1.42
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski2wins
AwayCaban8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCaban leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierski66.7%2 of 3
AwayCaban100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski3Caban7n = 10Caban took 7 of 10
S2Kedzierski3Caban7n = 10Caban took 7 of 10
S3Kedzierski4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S4Kedzierski1Caban5n = 6Caban took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiCabanK − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.639.8−7.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 438 vs 226 / 40938.1%55.3%167 / 438 vs 226 / 409Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabanKedzierski 2.65/Caban 1.42
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.5%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski—119119123J. Caban—811911102
LAug 14 · 22:10P. Kedzierski—79120J. Caban—1111143
LAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski—1171151J. Caban—13117113
LJun 30 · 16:00P. Kedzierski—911551J. Caban—11911113
LJun 24 · 22:30P. Kedzierski—761181J. Caban—11119113
LJun 24 · 16:30P. Kedzierski—1110481J. Caban—91211113
LMay 12 · 16:00P. Kedzierski—7640J. Caban—1111113
LApr 27 · 18:00P. Kedzierski—11780J. Caban—1311113
LMar 16 · 21:30P. Kedzierski—21171192J. Caban—119119113
WMar 10 · 17:00P. Kedzierski—1112113J. Caban—71080
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 8 · 20:00K. Kos1.3211911113P. Kedzierski2.90911881WSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113LSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091
J. Caban10
LSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113LSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981WSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113
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