TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099653
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.32
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191191012117––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.49
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:37 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1191191012117––
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 11–16 Jakub Komorowicz Piotr Kedzierski has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Komorowicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-16 in 27
Komorowicz
Wrong
gap of 5 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1269 vs Komorowicz 1351
Komorowicz
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 20% vs Komorowicz 40%
Komorowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 30% vs Komorowicz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski -3 · Komorowicz -1
Kedzierski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.32 / Komorowicz 1.49
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Komorowicz)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13099653
Kedzierski2.32
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 34 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Komorowicz1.49
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 60 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski4wins
AwayKomorowicz6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierski80%4 of 5
AwayKomorowicz100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski5Komorowicz5n = 10split evenly
S2Kedzierski3Komorowicz7n = 10Komorowicz took 7 of 10
S3Kedzierski6Komorowicz4n = 10Kedzierski took 6 of 10
S4Kedzierski5Komorowicz3n = 8Kedzierski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiKomorowiczKedzierski − KomorowiczBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.9−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 435 vs 221 / 48637.9%45.5%165 / 435 vs 221 / 486Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczKedzierski 2.32/Komorowicz 1.49
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski—1171031J. Komorowicz—41112113
LAug 22 · 07:35P. Kedzierski—7121351J. Komorowicz—111015113
WAug 18 · 18:00P. Kedzierski—11911113J. Komorowicz—811861
WAug 15 · 18:05P. Kedzierski—11611113J. Komorowicz—611991
LAug 14 · 19:00P. Kedzierski—74111382J. Komorowicz—1111911113
LAug 4 · 18:30P. Kedzierski—4380J. Komorowicz—1111113
WJul 21 · 22:10P. Kedzierski—111112133J. Komorowicz—61310111
LJul 21 · 16:30P. Kedzierski—29111152J. Komorowicz—111195113
LJun 30 · 21:30P. Kedzierski—5111091J. Komorowicz—11812113
WJun 30 · 17:30P. Kedzierski—1111113J. Komorowicz—6870
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113LSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113LAug 22 · 13:45P. Kedzierski—10980W. Arkadiusz—1211113WAug 22 · 13:05P. Kedzierski2.7561114133W. Arkadiusz1.3611812111
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113
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