TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13096423
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611117611811––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:59 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
611117611811––
H2H Kamil Kos 19–17 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 17 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-17 in 36
Kos
Wrong
gap of 2 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1404 vs Komorowicz 1346
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Komorowicz 20%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 40% vs Komorowicz 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -1 · Komorowicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.60 / Komorowicz 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kos)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13096423
Kos1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 48 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it66% 43 of 65
Komorowicz2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos7wins
AwayKomorowicz3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos85.7%6 of 7
AwayKomorowicz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos7Komorowicz3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Kos7Komorowicz3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S3Kos6Komorowicz4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Komorowicz3n = 6split evenly
S5Kos2Komorowicz1n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosKomorowiczKos − KomorowiczBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.534.3+5.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 295 vs 220 / 48449.2%45.5%145 / 295 vs 220 / 484Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.60/Komorowicz 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.2%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos—1111123J. Komorowicz—85100
WAug 25 · 21:30K. Kos—118118113J. Komorowicz—71141182
WAug 25 · 21:00K. Kos—1111113J. Komorowicz—8680
WAug 24 · 14:30K. Kos—1111113J. Komorowicz—7770
LAug 22 · 12:35K. Kos—9101131J. Komorowicz—11126113
WAug 18 · 19:30K. Kos—141112113J. Komorowicz—1241491
LAug 17 · 21:40K. Kos—7119101J. Komorowicz—11711123
WAug 17 · 20:30K. Kos—1111163J. Komorowicz—44140
LAug 7 · 06:30K. Kos—12841182J. Komorowicz—1011119113
WAug 3 · 21:40K. Kos—511911113J. Komorowicz—11511692
K. Kos10
LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
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