TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095055
Played Sep 7Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911611––––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911911611––––
H2H Kamil Kos 15–17 Kiejda Patryk Kamil Kos has won 15 of their 32 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Kos beat Patryk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:43What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-17 in 32
Patryk
Correct
gap of 2 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1417 vs Patryk 1443
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 60% vs Patryk 40%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 40% vs Patryk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +1 · Patryk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 2.00 / Patryk 1.71
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Patryk)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13095055
Kos2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Patryk1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 95 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos6wins
AwayPatryk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKos leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos71.4%5 of 7
AwayPatryk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos7Patryk3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S2Kos4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S3Kos5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kos6Patryk1n = 7Kos took 6 of 7
S5Kos1Patryk2n = 3Patryk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosPatrykK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.937.1+2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 294 vs 176 / 31249.3%56.4%145 / 294 vs 176 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKos 2.00/Patryk 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:00K. Kos—111211113K. Patryk—614551
WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos—12119123K. Patryk—10811101
WAug 30 · 07:05K. Kos—1161111113K. Patryk—71113382
WAug 25 · 19:00K. Kos—61111133K. Patryk—1177111
LAug 24 · 18:00K. Kos—610121192K. Patryk—1112109113
LAug 22 · 10:35K. Kos—11561192K. Patryk—911119113
WAug 18 · 22:30K. Kos—1112113K. Patryk—61050
LAug 18 · 15:00K. Kos—11101091K. Patryk—91212113
LAug 17 · 16:00K. Kos—5590K. Patryk—1111113
WAug 10 · 21:40K. Kos—1111143K. Patryk—46120
K. Kos10
WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182WSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos1.6471111882W. Arkadiusz2.04118511113LSep 1 · 16:30K. Kos1.71641471P. Kamil2.00111112113
K. Patryk10
LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Odelski2.00891112113K. Patryk1.72111191032WSep 2 · 15:00P. Kamil2.20471231K. Patryk1.58111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.