TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100507
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Caban
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
711311711––––
H2H Jakub Caban 4–5 Kiejda Patryk Jakub Caban has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Caban 1419 vs Patryk 1467
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Caban 60% vs Patryk 80%
Patryk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Caban 60% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Caban -1 · Patryk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 1.95 / Patryk 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Patryk)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13100507
Caban1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 10 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Patryk1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeCaban4wins
AwayPatryk5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPatryk leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCaban50%2 of 4
AwayPatryk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban4Patryk5n = 9Patryk took 5 of 9
S2Caban3Patryk6n = 9Patryk took 6 of 9
S3Caban5Patryk4n = 9Caban took 5 of 9
S4Caban4Patryk4n = 8split evenly
S5Caban2Patryk2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricCabanPatrykC − PBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match41.341.1+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 408 vs 180 / 31755.4%56.8%226 / 408 vs 180 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykCaban 1.95/Patryk 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 13 · 18:30J. Caban—11912972K. Patryk—9111011113
LJul 6 · 19:00J. Caban—3640K. Patryk—1111113
LJun 30 · 17:00J. Caban—1199121K. Patryk—81111143
WJun 24 · 17:30J. Caban—11911113K. Patryk—611571
WJun 9 · 21:40J. Caban—991111113K. Patryk—11117692
LJun 9 · 21:00J. Caban—7118101K. Patryk—11911123
WOct 25 · 07:35J. Caban—881111113K. Patryk—11112282
LFeb 11 · 05:30J. Caban—61212982K. Patryk—11101011113
WFeb 11 · 24:45J. Caban—11128143K. Patryk—51011121
J. Caban10
LSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280LSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981WSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113
K. Patryk10
LSep 8 · 22:30K. Patryk1.635760W. Arkadiusz2.151111113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113WSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113WSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.