TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099585
Played Sep 8Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1197111315811––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.76
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
1197111315811––
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 22–27 Kiejda Patryk Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 22 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (53%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-27 in 49
Patryk
Correct
gap of 5 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Arkadiusz 1438 vs Patryk 1473
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Arkadiusz 60% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arkadiusz 50% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Arkadiusz +2 · Patryk +3
Patryk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.95 / Patryk 1.76
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Patryk)+1.4pp
TT Cup · #13099585
Arkadiusz1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 56 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Patryk1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeArkadiusz4wins
AwayPatryk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz40%2 of 5
AwayPatryk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S2Arkadiusz6Patryk4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S3Arkadiusz4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Arkadiusz3Patryk4n = 7Patryk took 4 of 7
S5Arkadiusz1Patryk3n = 4Patryk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricArkadiuszPatrykA − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.042.2−3.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime557 / 992 vs 179 / 31556.2%56.8%557 / 992 vs 179 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykArkadiusz 1.95/Patryk 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 14:00W. Arkadiusz—121115892K. Patryk—1091711113
WSep 2 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz—1113113K. Patryk—81170
LSep 1 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz—511112102K. Patryk—119611123
WAug 31 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz—611114113K. Patryk—11991172
LAug 30 · 09:05W. Arkadiusz—101370K. Patryk—1215113
WAug 26 · 15:00W. Arkadiusz—11129113K. Patryk—8101181
LAug 25 · 18:00W. Arkadiusz—7990K. Patryk—1111113
LAug 24 · 14:00W. Arkadiusz—12881232K. Patryk—10111110113
LAug 22 · 07:05W. Arkadiusz—133971K. Patryk—111111113
WAug 17 · 21:00W. Arkadiusz—121111113K. Patryk—146981
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682WSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113WSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981LSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950LSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890
K. Patryk10
WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113WSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111
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