TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099708
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191189111416118
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:52 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
108 points played in total.
Set by set
1191189111416118
H2H Kamil Kos 17–25 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Kamil Kos has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (52%)
Arkadiusz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-25 in 42
Arkadiusz
Wrong
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1372 vs Arkadiusz 1427
Arkadiusz
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 20% vs Arkadiusz 40%
Arkadiusz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 30% vs Arkadiusz 50%
Arkadiusz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -4 · Arkadiusz -1
Kos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.91 / Arkadiusz 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+1.7pp
TT Cup · #13099708
Kos1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 35 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Arkadiusz1.74
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 127 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it73% 90 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos2wins
AwayArkadiusz8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos25%1 of 4
AwayArkadiusz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S2Kos5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S3Kos4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Arkadiusz6n = 9Arkadiusz took 6 of 9
S5Kos1Arkadiusz4n = 5Arkadiusz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosArkadiuszK − ABasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.245.8−3.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 298 vs 557 / 99348.7%56.1%145 / 298 vs 557 / 993Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.141.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszKos 1.91/Arkadiusz 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos—79110W. Arkadiusz—1111133
LSep 1 · 18:00K. Kos—71111882W. Arkadiusz—118511113
LAug 30 · 13:05K. Kos—1112661W. Arkadiusz—81411113
LAug 25 · 15:30K. Kos—51112121W. Arkadiusz—11814143
LAug 24 · 20:00K. Kos—111311892W. Arkadiusz—715511113
WAug 22 · 09:35K. Kos—712128113W. Arkadiusz—1110101192
WAug 17 · 19:30K. Kos—11911113W. Arkadiusz—811961
LAug 10 · 18:30K. Kos—51371462W. Arkadiusz—11111112113
LAug 9 · 21:35K. Kos—1011861W. Arkadiusz—12711113
LAug 7 · 10:20K. Kos—118111382W. Arkadiusz—9111311113
K. Kos10
LSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113LSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113WSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981LSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950LSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890
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