TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099463
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117911118711711
Jakub Caban
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Caban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
117911118711711
H2H Kamil Kos 4–2 Jakub Caban Jakub Caban has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Kos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Kos
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1381 vs Caban 1425
Caban
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 20% vs Caban 60%
Caban
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 30% vs Caban 60%
Caban
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -3 · Caban -1
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.73 / Caban 1.98
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kos)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13099463
Kos1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite49% won 48 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it66% 43 of 65
Caban1.98
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 10 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayCaban2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKos leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos66.7%2 of 3
AwayCaban33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos3Caban3n = 6split evenly
S2Kos3Caban3n = 6split evenly
S3Kos4Caban2n = 6Kos took 4 of 6
S4Kos4Caban1n = 5Kos took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKosCabanK − CBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.236.8+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 297 vs 225 / 40648.8%55.4%145 / 297 vs 225 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.040.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.73/Caban 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Caban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 1 · 16:30K. Kos—112871J. Caban—81111113
WJun 30 · 21:40K. Kos—111110113J. Caban—921271
WJun 30 · 21:00K. Kos—31111113J. Caban—119591
WMay 2 · 14:00K. Kos—721211113J. Caban—111110912
LApr 17 · 19:35K. Kos—871111122J. Caban—111166143
WMar 23 · 17:35K. Kos—1114113J. Caban—61280
K. Kos10
LSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113LSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182
J. Caban10
LSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981WSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113LAug 14 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.097111212133J. Caban1.611191014112WJul 13 · 21:40J. Caban—1510117113J. Komorowicz—131281192LJul 13 · 20:30J. Caban—57111652P. Kamil—1111514113
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