TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099085
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.98
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611116119411711
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKiejda Patryk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
611116119411711
H2H Kamil Kos 15–18 Kiejda Patryk Kamil Kos has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (53%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Patryk
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1390 vs Patryk 1464
Patryk
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 20% vs Patryk 60%
Patryk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 40% vs Patryk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -2 · Patryk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.98 / Patryk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Patryk)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13099085
Kos1.98
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 35 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back25% 8 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Patryk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos5wins
AwayPatryk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos66.7%4 of 6
AwayPatryk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos6Patryk4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S2Kos3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S3Kos4Patryk6n = 10Patryk took 6 of 10
S4Kos6Patryk1n = 7Kos took 6 of 7
S5Kos1Patryk2n = 3Patryk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosPatrykK − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.738.2+0.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 296 vs 178 / 31449%56.7%145 / 296 vs 178 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykKos 1.98/Patryk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos—9960K. Patryk—1111113
WSep 7 · 15:00K. Kos—111211113K. Patryk—614551
WSep 1 · 14:30K. Kos—12119123K. Patryk—10811101
WAug 30 · 07:05K. Kos—1161111113K. Patryk—71113382
WAug 25 · 19:00K. Kos—61111133K. Patryk—1177111
LAug 24 · 18:00K. Kos—610121192K. Patryk—1112109113
LAug 22 · 10:35K. Kos—11561192K. Patryk—911119113
WAug 18 · 22:30K. Kos—1112113K. Patryk—61050
LAug 18 · 15:00K. Kos—11101091K. Patryk—91212113
LAug 17 · 16:00K. Kos—5590K. Patryk—1111113
K. Kos10
LSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:30W. Dariusz1.809712101K. Kos1.91111110123LSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102LSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182
K. Patryk10
WSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113WSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892WSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133LSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111
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