TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100386
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Kedzierski
Home
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189111199111210
Jakub Caban
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 68.7% is still 68.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Caban to win
68.7%
68.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1189111199111210
H2H Piotr Kedzierski 10–20 Jakub Caban Piotr Kedzierski has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Caban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-20 in 30
Caban
Wrong
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kedzierski 1284 vs Caban 1434
Caban
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kedzierski 40% vs Caban 80%
Caban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kedzierski 30% vs Caban 70%
Caban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kedzierski +1 · Caban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Caban)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKedzierski 2.80 / Caban 1.35
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Caban)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13100386
Kedzierski2.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 34 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Caban1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 26 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKedzierski2wins
AwayCaban8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCaban leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKedzierski66.7%2 of 3
AwayCaban100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kedzierski3Caban7n = 10Caban took 7 of 10
S2Kedzierski4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S3Kedzierski4Caban6n = 10Caban took 6 of 10
S4Kedzierski1Caban4n = 5Caban took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKedzierskiCabanK − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.837.3−6.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKedzierskiCabanBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 436 vs 226 / 40738.1%55.5%166 / 436 vs 226 / 407Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabanKedzierski 2.80/Caban 1.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.7%
Caban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kedzierski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 22:10P. Kedzierski—79120J. Caban—1111143
LAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski—1171151J. Caban—13117113
LJun 30 · 16:00P. Kedzierski—911551J. Caban—11911113
LJun 24 · 22:30P. Kedzierski—761181J. Caban—11119113
LJun 24 · 16:30P. Kedzierski—1110481J. Caban—91211113
LMay 12 · 16:00P. Kedzierski—7640J. Caban—1111113
LApr 27 · 18:00P. Kedzierski—11780J. Caban—1311113
LMar 16 · 21:30P. Kedzierski—21171192J. Caban—119119113
WMar 10 · 17:00P. Kedzierski—1112113J. Caban—71080
WMar 9 · 21:30P. Kedzierski—1211113J. Caban—10860
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 8 · 20:00K. Kos1.3211911113P. Kedzierski2.90911881WSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113LSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113
J. Caban10
WSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981WSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WAug 14 · 22:10J. Caban—1111143P. Kedzierski—79120WAug 14 · 21:00P. Kedzierski2.401171151J. Caban1.5113117113LAug 14 · 19:30J. Caban1.471171112172W. Arkadiusz2.39511914193WAug 14 · 17:30F. Baranski2.2211101081J. Caban1.5491212113WAug 14 · 15:00P. Kamil1.62661181J. Caban2.1511119113LAug 14 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.097111212133J. Caban1.611191014112WJul 13 · 21:40J. Caban—1510117113J. Komorowicz—131281192
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