TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100384
Played Sep 8Finished
Kamil Kos
Home
1.32
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911118118––
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
2.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Kos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
119911118118––
H2H Kamil Kos 4–2 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Kos
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1384 vs Kedzierski 1300
Kos
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 20% vs Kedzierski 40%
Kedzierski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 40% vs Kedzierski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +1 · Kedzierski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (20%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.32 / Kedzierski 2.90
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kos)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13100384
Kos1.32
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 48 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it66% 43 of 65
Kedzierski2.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 34 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayKedzierski2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKos leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos80%4 of 5
AwayKedzierskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos5Kedzierski1n = 6Kos took 5 of 6
S2Kos4Kedzierski2n = 6Kos took 4 of 6
S3Kos3Kedzierski3n = 6split evenly
S4Kos2Kedzierski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKosKedzierskiKos − KedzierskiBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.034.2+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 299 vs 167 / 43748.8%38.2%146 / 299 vs 167 / 437Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.32/Kedzierski 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 22 · 08:05K. Kos—11891182P. Kedzierski—511117113
WAug 18 · 14:30K. Kos—11119113P. Kedzierski—571181
LJul 21 · 18:00K. Kos—7119101P. Kedzierski—11611123
WJul 7 · 16:30K. Kos—1191210113P. Kedzierski—911101282
WJun 23 · 17:00K. Kos—1112113P. Kedzierski—41080
WJun 10 · 16:00K. Kos—1111113P. Kedzierski—4940
K. Kos10
WSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153WSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682LSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113LSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113LSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113LSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113WSep 7 · 21:00L. Buklat1.806880K. Kos1.861111113LSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133LSep 7 · 17:30P. Odelski1.6011911113K. Kos2.11711881WSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113
P. Kedzierski10
WSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113LSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113LAug 26 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.269111011113P. Kedzierski3.5011912852WAug 26 · 20:00K. Patryk1.23411981P. Kedzierski3.5011511113LAug 26 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.608790L. Buklat1.411111113LAug 26 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.451171031J. Komorowicz1.5041112113WAug 26 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.7511512113P. Odelski1.369111091LAug 26 · 14:30P. Kedzierski3.658990W. Arkadiusz1.211111113
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