TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101193
Played Sep 8Finished
Kiejda Patryk
Home
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711611––––
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
511711611––––
H2H Kiejda Patryk 28–22 Wiekiera Arkadiusz Wiekiera Arkadiusz has won 22 of their 50 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Patryk beat Arkadiusz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Patryk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatryk 1.63 / Arkadiusz 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Patryk)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13101193
Patryk1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 98 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 97
Arkadiusz2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 56 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePatryk7wins
AwayArkadiusz3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePatryk75%3 of 4
AwayArkadiusz33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Patryk4Arkadiusz6n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S2Patryk5Arkadiusz5n = 10split evenly
S3Patryk7Arkadiusz3n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S4Patryk5Arkadiusz2n = 7Patryk took 5 of 7
S5Patryk3Arkadiusz1n = 4Patryk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPatrykArkadiuszP − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.138.4+4.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrykArkadiuszBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 318 vs 558 / 99556.9%56.1%181 / 318 vs 558 / 995Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.641.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykPatryk 1.63/Arkadiusz 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 17:30K. Patryk—91115113W. Arkadiusz—1171381
WSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk—1091711113W. Arkadiusz—121115892
LSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk—81170W. Arkadiusz—1113113
WSep 1 · 19:30K. Patryk—119611123W. Arkadiusz—511112102
LAug 31 · 19:30K. Patryk—11991172W. Arkadiusz—611114113
WAug 30 · 09:05K. Patryk—1215113W. Arkadiusz—101370
LAug 26 · 15:00K. Patryk—8101181W. Arkadiusz—11129113
WAug 25 · 18:00K. Patryk—1111113W. Arkadiusz—7990
WAug 24 · 14:00K. Patryk—10111110113W. Arkadiusz—12881232
WAug 22 · 07:05K. Patryk—111111113W. Arkadiusz—133971
K. Patryk10
WSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113WSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 15:00K. Kos1.9861111472K. Patryk1.73116911113WSep 8 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.953490K. Patryk1.311111113WSep 7 · 22:00K. Kos2.009960K. Patryk1.711111113LSep 7 · 20:00K. Patryk—1175131W. Dariusz—61111153LSep 7 · 18:30K. Patryk1.82411561P. Odelski1.8811611113WSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 15:00K. Patryk1.50614551K. Kos2.30111211113
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 8 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.4011911113J. Komorowicz2.60811751LSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682LSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113WSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981LSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950LSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123
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