TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13100383
Played Sep 8Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911117115––
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeWiekiera Arkadiusz to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118911117115––
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 48–31 Jakub Komorowicz Jakub Komorowicz has won 31 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (65%)
Arkadiusz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-31 in 79
Arkadiusz
Correct
gap of 17 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Arkadiusz 1415 vs Komorowicz 1353
Arkadiusz
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Arkadiusz 40% vs Komorowicz 60%
Komorowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Arkadiusz 50% vs Komorowicz 30%
Arkadiusz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Arkadiusz -2 · Komorowicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Arkadiusz) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.40 / Komorowicz 2.60
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13100383
Arkadiusz1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 127 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it73% 90 of 123
Komorowicz2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeArkadiusz6wins
AwayKomorowicz4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderArkadiusz leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz66.7%2 of 3
AwayKomorowicz42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz3Komorowicz7n = 10Komorowicz took 7 of 10
S2Arkadiusz6Komorowicz4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S3Arkadiusz6Komorowicz4n = 10Arkadiusz took 6 of 10
S4Arkadiusz4Komorowicz6n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S5Arkadiusz5Komorowicz2n = 7Arkadiusz took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricArkadiuszKomorowiczA − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match49.046.8+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime557 / 994 vs 222 / 48856%45.5%557 / 994 vs 222 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.40/Komorowicz 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.2%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Arkadiusz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:00W. Arkadiusz—1011911113J. Komorowicz—12811982
LSep 1 · 15:30W. Arkadiusz—11611101J. Komorowicz—13116123
LAug 31 · 21:40W. Arkadiusz—1131181J. Komorowicz—91113113
WAug 31 · 21:00W. Arkadiusz—911711133J. Komorowicz—116117112
LAug 26 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz—991311102J. Komorowicz—1111113123
WAug 25 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz—11111310113J. Komorowicz—67151262
WAug 24 · 15:00W. Arkadiusz—925113123J. Komorowicz—1123911102
LAug 22 · 11:35W. Arkadiusz—911118102J. Komorowicz—115611123
WAug 17 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz—1110118113J. Komorowicz—61291192
WAug 14 · 22:40W. Arkadiusz—111111153J. Komorowicz—1375131
W. Arkadiusz10
LSep 8 · 18:30K. Kos1.911111914113W. Arkadiusz1.7498111682LSep 8 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.951171381K. Patryk1.7691115113WSep 8 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.40126111232W. Arkadiusz1.241011814113WSep 8 · 16:00W. Arkadiusz1.7511311113J. Caban1.95811981LSep 7 · 22:30P. Odelski1.511111113W. Arkadiusz2.406950LSep 7 · 20:30P. Odelski1.5511911113W. Arkadiusz2.30911591WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 8 · 21:30J. Komorowicz—65130K. Kos—1111153WSep 8 · 19:30K. Patryk1.301211991J. Komorowicz3.1014611113LSep 8 · 18:00P. Kedzierski2.32111110113J. Komorowicz1.49991271LSep 8 · 15:30J. Caban1.49711411113J. Komorowicz2.3211011572WSep 8 · 14:00K. Kos1.60611681J. Komorowicz2.1011711113WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113
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