TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083481
Played Sep 5Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.84
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1214119119118––
Jakub Michalczyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
1214119119118––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 3–1 Jakub Michalczyk Jakub Michalczyk has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Michalczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1406 vs Michalczyk 1376
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Michalczyk 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Michalczyk 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +2 · Michalczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.84 / Michalczyk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13083481
Sulkowski1.84
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 161 of 504
Down 0–1, comes back17% 50 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 137
Michalczyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 21 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSulkowski3wins
AwayMichalczyk1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSulkowski leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%3 of 3
AwayMichalczykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Michalczyk1n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
S2Sulkowski3Michalczyk1n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
S3Sulkowski2Michalczyk2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSulkowskiMichalczykS − MBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.535.2+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiMichalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime530 / 1205 vs 176 / 33544%52.5%530 / 1205 vs 176 / 335Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.84/Michalczyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJun 3 · 09:00B. Sulkowski—1111113J. Michalczyk—4690
WMar 13 · 12:00B. Sulkowski—1111133J. Michalczyk—68110
WMar 3 · 14:30B. Sulkowski—119711123J. Michalczyk—611119102
LJan 24 · 16:50B. Sulkowski—31181482J. Michalczyk—1151112113
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 7 · 24:35A. Linek1.97136681B. Sulkowski1.71111111113WSep 6 · 22:55A. Lilien1.66511961B. Sulkowski2.0511711113LSep 6 · 22:15M. Trela1.941111117113B. Sulkowski1.7461341192LSep 6 · 21:30A. Myszewski2.3711711113B. Sulkowski1.51511451WSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:55M. Trela2.239711121B. Sulkowski1.5611112143WSep 6 · 18:10B. Sulkowski1.60111178113A. Myszewski2.1036111142LSep 6 · 16:35B. Sulkowski2.258115101A. Lilien1.5511811123LSep 6 · 15:50A. Wos1.421511113113B. Sulkowski2.6017761162WSep 5 · 23:20A. Lilien1.62711781B. Sulkowski2.1511711113
J. Michalczyk10
LSep 6 · 19:40J. Michalczyk2.21811981B. Sulkowski1.5711211113WSep 6 · 18:30J. Michalczyk2.50411117113A. Wos1.4611681172WSep 6 · 17:20J. Michalczyk1.90111275113A. Lilien1.80710111182LSep 6 · 16:15M. Trela2.604101111113J. Michalczyk1.4211127772WSep 6 · 15:25J. Michalczyk1.541111108113A. Myszewski2.2569121192WSep 6 · 14:35J. Michalczyk1.6311711113T. Pisarczyk2.10611871WSep 6 · 13:00J. Michalczyk1.791315113M. Zagajewski1.88111330WSep 6 · 11:45J. Michalczyk1.77111120113P. Staniszewski1.90972281LSep 6 · 10:05J. Michalczyk1.9589111162I. Dabrowski1.74111174113LSep 6 · 09:00J. Michalczyk2.153860D. Wasilewski1.631111113
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