TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080867
Played Sep 5Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111311611311––
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:29 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Jakub Nowak below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 69 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 65.4%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Sobkow
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1499 vs Nowak 1324
Sobkow
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 60% vs Nowak 40%
Sobkow
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 60% vs Nowak 30%
Sobkow
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow +3 · Nowak -2
Sobkow
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Sobkow) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sobkow form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.36 / Nowak 2.80
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Sobkow)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13080867
Sobkow1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite62% won 23 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Nowak2.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As underdog36% won 241 of 666
Down 0–1, comes back21% 85 of 403
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 234
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 64 vs 671 / 173359.4%38.7%38 / 64 vs 671 / 1733Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.36/Nowak 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.1%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nowak won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113LSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113WSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133WSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481
J. Nowak10
WSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571
Upcoming Matches
Z. Sobkow
Nothing scheduled
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 8 · 03:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.