TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090347
Played Sep 8Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
2.24
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911911––––
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.58
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:57 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
1113911911––––
H2H Oskar Jadach 19–6 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 6 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Jadach beat Nowak 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (59%)
Nowak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-6 in 25
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 13 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1469 vs Nowak 1286
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Nowak 0%
Jadach
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 80% vs Nowak 30%
Jadach
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +4 · Nowak -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nowak) · live re-read · sealed at 35% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (0%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 2.24 / Nowak 1.58
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nowak)-4.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13090347
Jadach2.24
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 104 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back28% 35 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 77
Nowak1.58
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 73 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach9wins
AwayNowak1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%7 of 7
AwayNowak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach7Nowak3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S2Jadach7Nowak3n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S3Jadach6Nowak4n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Jadach5Nowak3n = 8Jadach took 5 of 8
S5Jadach4Nowak1n = 5Jadach took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachNowakJ − NBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.437.3+7.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime797 / 1320 vs 671 / 173860.4%38.6%797 / 1320 vs 671 / 1738Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NowakJadach 2.24/Nowak 1.58
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nowak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 22:20O. Jadach—1111113J. Nowak—3660
LAug 24 · 14:45O. Jadach—85111182J. Nowak—111146113
WAug 24 · 11:05O. Jadach—11116113J. Nowak—581171
WJul 12 · 15:55O. Jadach—1411113J. Nowak—12570
WJul 12 · 09:55O. Jadach—811149113J. Nowak—119121172
WFeb 17 · 04:05O. Jadach—111174113J. Nowak—96111172
WFeb 16 · 22:05O. Jadach—11139133J. Nowak—71111111
WDec 30 · 04:05O. Jadach—11611133J. Nowak—8112111
WDec 29 · 22:05O. Jadach—1011117113J. Nowak—12581122
WAug 28 · 22:00O. Jadach—177816113J. Nowak—1511111452
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 23:30O. Jadach1.581711512113P. Kurek2.20199111072WSep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak2.903660O. Jadach1.351111113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon2.808390O. Jadach1.391111113WSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach1.8071111113K. Adamus1.85118961LSep 7 · 19:10O. Jadach1.559101491P. Kurek2.25111212113WSep 7 · 18:20G. Marud2.25811571O. Jadach1.5411411113WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652
J. Nowak10
LSep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak2.2775130P. Kurek1.521111153LSep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak2.70114119112K. Adamus1.37911811133LSep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak2.903660O. Jadach1.351111113LSep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak2.3131180G. Marud1.501113113LSep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak2.201010130P. Kurek1.571212153LSep 7 · 18:45M. Sikon1.86911711113J. Nowak1.8311811782WSep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak2.401161113113K. Adamus1.5051171582WSep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91111575113R. Niemiec1.80913111192WSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130
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