TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077244
Played Sep 5Finished
Maciej Domin
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111614811911––
Szymon Kolasa
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Domin above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 66.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Domin 5–13 Szymon Kolasa Maciej Domin has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Domin 1805 vs Kolasa 1889
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Domin 60% vs Kolasa 20%
Domin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Domin 70% vs Kolasa 40%
Domin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Domin +1 · Kolasa -4
Kolasa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kolasa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDomin 2.63 / Kolasa 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Kolasa)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077244
Domin2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 84 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back30% 34 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Kolasa1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite74% won 69 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDomin2wins
AwayKolasa8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDominn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolasa87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Domin2Kolasa8n = 10Kolasa took 8 of 10
S2Domin4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S3Domin3Kolasa7n = 10Kolasa took 7 of 10
S4Domin2Kolasa6n = 8Kolasa took 6 of 8
S5Domin2Kolasa1n = 3Domin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDominKolasaD − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.044.5−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDominKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 944 vs 289 / 52752.2%54.8%493 / 944 vs 289 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaDomin 2.63/Kolasa 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:00M. Domin—106111162S. Kolasa—121169113
LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin—710100S. Kolasa—1112123
WSep 5 · 12:55M. Domin—1181111113S. Kolasa—91113892
LSep 5 · 06:05M. Domin—216891S. Kolasa—111411113
LAug 27 · 07:20M. Domin—741171S. Kolasa—11115113
LAug 12 · 05:15M. Domin—8131171S. Kolasa—111113113
LJan 17 · 12:10M. Domin—1288141S. Kolasa—101111163
LOct 10 · 15:30M. Domin—8980S. Kolasa—1111113
LAug 18 · 24:45M. Domin—412581S. Kolasa—111011113
WAug 17 · 22:20M. Domin—9121112143S. Kolasa—1110914122
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
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