TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077242
Played Sep 5Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116114––––
Patryk Jedrzejak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Patryk Jedrzejak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-4
Point 48 set 3, 7-4 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 56.6%
48 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 2–1 Patryk Jedrzejak Patryk Jedrzejak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jedrzejak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1526 vs Jedrzejak 1573
Jedrzejak
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 80% vs Jedrzejak 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 50% vs Jedrzejak 80%
Jedrzejak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak +1 · Jedrzejak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jedrzejak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 2.10 / Jedrzejak 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077242
Wieczerzak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 35 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Jedrzejak1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite74% won 166 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it87% 127 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWieczerzak2wins
AwayJedrzejak1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderWieczerzak leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayJedrzejak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak0Jedrzejak3n = 3Jedrzejak took 3 of 3
S2Wieczerzak2Jedrzejak1n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S3Wieczerzak3Jedrzejak0n = 3Wieczerzak took 3 of 3
S4Wieczerzak2Jedrzejak1n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWieczerzakJedrzejakW − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match45.040.3+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakJedrzejakBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 238 vs 357 / 52354.2%68.3%129 / 238 vs 357 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakWieczerzak 2.10/Jedrzejak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 5 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak—61314113P. Jedrzejak—11111251
LJul 4 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak—88111182P. Jedrzejak—111163113
WJul 4 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak—911113113P. Jedrzejak—11661162
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
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