TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077219
Played Sep 5Finished
Maciej Domin
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1198111113118119
Szymon Kolasa
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:59 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMaciej Domin above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 102 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Szymon Kolasa at 66.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Domin 4–11 Szymon Kolasa Maciej Domin has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kolasa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Kolasa
Wrong
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Domin 1815 vs Kolasa 1847
Kolasa
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Domin 40% vs Kolasa 60%
Kolasa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Domin 50% vs Kolasa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Domin +1 · Kolasa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kolasa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDomin 2.63 / Kolasa 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Kolasa)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077219
Domin2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back30% 31 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Kolasa1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite78% won 59 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDomin2wins
AwayKolasa8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDominn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKolasa77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Domin1Kolasa9n = 10Kolasa took 9 of 10
S2Domin5Kolasa5n = 10split evenly
S3Domin2Kolasa8n = 10Kolasa took 8 of 10
S4Domin1Kolasa6n = 7Kolasa took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDominKolasaD − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.142.8−7.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDominKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 932 vs 281 / 51352.2%54.8%486 / 932 vs 281 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaDomin 2.63/Kolasa 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Domin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 06:05M. Domin—216891S. Kolasa—111411113
LAug 27 · 07:20M. Domin—741171S. Kolasa—11115113
LAug 12 · 05:15M. Domin—8131171S. Kolasa—111113113
LJan 17 · 12:10M. Domin—1288141S. Kolasa—101111163
LOct 10 · 15:30M. Domin—8980S. Kolasa—1111113
LAug 18 · 24:45M. Domin—412581S. Kolasa—111011113
WAug 17 · 22:20M. Domin—9121112143S. Kolasa—1110914122
LAug 17 · 21:35M. Domin—141050S. Kolasa—1612113
LAug 17 · 01:10M. Domin—7470S. Kolasa—1111113
WAug 16 · 22:45M. Domin—511911113S. Kolasa—11811872
M. Domin10
WSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203WSep 6 · 13:20J. Braun1.404111271M. Domin2.7511514113WSep 6 · 11:15G. Adamiak1.80971191M. Domin1.9111113113LSep 6 · 10:25M. Nowalinski1.5711511113M. Domin2.25911791LSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162LSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:30M. Domin2.75111113113J. Braun1.405131161LSep 6 · 05:15M. Domin1.5711115192G. Poliniewicz2.25871111113WSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:25M. Domin2.2512511113M. Nowalinski1.571011841
S. Kolasa10
LSep 7 · 05:40S. Kolasa2.00613791P. David1.73111111113LSep 7 · 04:10S. Kolasa2.386270J. Kosowski1.531111113WSep 6 · 14:35S. Kolasa1.7311811113J. Braun2.00711751WSep 6 · 12:55S. Kolasa1.6111811113M. Nowalinski2.20811761LSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kolasa1.4461111113G. Adamiak2.63117621WSep 6 · 09:00S. Kolasa1.44121169113M. Domin2.63106111162WSep 6 · 07:45M. Domin2.63710100S. Kolasa1.441112123WSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113LSep 6 · 06:05S. Kolasa1.73101151182M. Nowalinski2.00126118113
Upcoming Matches
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S. Kolasa
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