TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077193
Played Sep 5Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11611131214511––
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:00 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatryk Jedrzejak above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 83 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 56.6%
83 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 1–1 Jacek Wieczerzak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jedrzejak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1578 vs Wieczerzak 1515
Jedrzejak
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 100% vs Wieczerzak 60%
Jedrzejak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 90% vs Wieczerzak 50%
Jedrzejak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak +5 · Wieczerzak +2
Jedrzejak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jedrzejak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.67 / Wieczerzak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077193
Jedrzejak1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite74% won 166 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it87% 127 of 146
Wieczerzak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 35 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJedrzejak1wins
AwayWieczerzak1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJedrzejakWieczerzakJ − WBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.045.5−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 520 vs 127 / 23568.3%54%355 / 520 vs 127 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.67/Wieczerzak 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 4 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak—111163113J. Wieczerzak—88111182
LJul 4 · 05:40P. Jedrzejak—11661162J. Wieczerzak—911113113
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
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