TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068177
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116511611––
Dominik Pawlik
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Dominik Pawlik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 58.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 18–11 Dominik Pawlik Dominik Pawlik has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-11 in 29
Krupnik
Wrong
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1613 vs Pawlik 1544
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Pawlik 40%
Krupnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 70% vs Pawlik 50%
Krupnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik -1 · Pawlik -3
Pawlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.61 / Pawlik 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Krupnik)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13068177
Krupnik1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 150 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it72% 106 of 147
Pawlik2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 56 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik7wins
AwayPawlik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik83.3%5 of 6
AwayPawlik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Pawlik4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik7Pawlik3n = 10Krupnik took 7 of 10
S3Krupnik4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik6Pawlik2n = 8Krupnik took 6 of 8
S5Krupnik2Pawlik1n = 3Krupnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikPawlikK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.336.6+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 833 vs 218 / 43651.3%50%427 / 833 vs 218 / 436Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.61/Pawlik 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 07:10J. Krupnik—1111113D. Pawlik—7590
WAug 19 · 08:15J. Krupnik—911411113D. Pawlik—11611962
WAug 14 · 08:48J. Krupnik—1111113D. Pawlik—7980
LAug 14 · 05:40J. Krupnik—411101182D. Pawlik—117127113
LAug 12 · 11:10J. Krupnik—711981D. Pawlik—11811113
WAug 6 · 10:45J. Krupnik—11118123D. Pawlik—5811101
WAug 3 · 09:08J. Krupnik—11114113D. Pawlik—691171
WAug 3 · 06:10J. Krupnik—941111113D. Pawlik—11119392
WJul 23 · 09:18J. Krupnik—111311113D. Pawlik—715791
LJul 23 · 08:15J. Krupnik—119561D. Pawlik—81111113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
D. Pawlik10
LSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 08:50L. Slavik1.611613113D. Pawlik2.20141110LSep 6 · 08:15D. Pawlik2.001251431D. Jr1.73141112113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112LSep 6 · 06:15L. Slavik1.61111195113D. Pawlik2.2088111182WSep 5 · 08:44J. Przybyla1.7363111182D. Pawlik2.00111189113LSep 5 · 08:15D. Pawlik1.839580J. Przybyla1.831111113LSep 5 · 06:45M. Macurak1.53511119113D. Pawlik2.3811821112WSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113LSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060
Upcoming Matches
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D. Pawlik
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