Jakub Rolik vs Filip Musil 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13002613

Played Aug 24Finished

Jakub Rolik

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9111311911119118

Filip Musil

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingJakub Rolik above · Filip Musil below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 103 set 5, 11-8

103 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Rolik 18–20 Filip Musil Jakub Rolik has won 18 of their 38 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Musil)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Musil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRolik 2.00 / Musil 1.73

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Musil)+2.0pp

TT Cup · #13002613

Rolik2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog40% won 85 of 213

Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 122

Down 0–2, comes back17% 12 of 69

Musil1.73

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite66% won 23 of 35

Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13

Up 1–0, closes it100% 18 of 18

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRolik5wins

AwayMusil5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRolik66.7%4 of 6

AwayMusil75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rolik6Musil4n = 10Rolik took 6 of 10

S2Rolik2Musil8n = 10Musil took 8 of 10

S3Rolik6Musil4n = 10Rolik took 6 of 10

S4Rolik1Musil6n = 7Musil took 6 of 7

S5Rolik4Musil1n = 5Rolik took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricRolikMusilR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.940.7−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRolikMusilBasisWin rate · lifetime296 / 622 vs 119 / 21547.6%55.4%296 / 622 vs 119 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Musil

Rolik 2.00/Musil 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.7%

Musil · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Rolik won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 24 · 11:20J. Rolik—911149113F. Musil—115121192

LApr 22 · 17:20J. Rolik—1110771F. Musil—91211113

WApr 22 · 16:50J. Rolik—1111113F. Musil—5590

LApr 17 · 15:50J. Rolik—1111115102F. Musil—813911123

WApr 6 · 11:20J. Rolik—118911113F. Musil—81111852

WApr 1 · 10:20J. Rolik—111116113F. Musil—61171172

LMar 4 · 09:25J. Rolik—851291F. Musil—111110113

WFeb 22 · 07:50J. Rolik—118138113F. Musil—911111172

LDec 10 · 12:50J. Rolik—7790F. Musil—1111113

LDec 8 · 19:50J. Rolik—10650F. Musil—1211113

J. Rolik10

LSep 4 · 17:50R. Zeman1.711114113J. Rolik2.0061260 LSep 4 · 16:20M. Kolbusovsky2.751181110113J. Rolik1.4071181282 WSep 4 · 15:50M. Nemec1.911171191J. Rolik1.8031113113 WSep 4 · 14:50J. Rolik2.20781111113R. Zeman1.6111114462 WSep 3 · 17:55J. Rolik1.801211113M. Nemec1.9010990 LSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133 WSep 3 · 15:20J. Rolik1.91711611113J. Brynych1.8011711982 WSep 3 · 14:20J. Rolik1.731113512113M. Nemec2.00911111482 WSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102 LSep 1 · 12:20P. Cibik1.50117611113J. Rolik2.5091111982

F. Musil10

WAug 28 · 13:55F. Musil1.6512912113J. Rolik2.1010111081 WAug 28 · 12:50F. Musil1.61412116113J. Rolik2.20111051192 WAug 28 · 11:20O. Sebek2.256870F. Musil1.571111113 WAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113 WAug 24 · 12:50F. Musil1.447111212113M. Nemec2.63115141042 LAug 24 · 11:20J. Rolik2.25911149113F. Musil1.57115121192 LAug 24 · 10:50O. Sebek2.20111167113F. Musil1.6166111182 WMay 11 · 17:50F. Musil1.61116911113R. Zeman2.2071111462 WMay 11 · 16:50A. Krcil1.918790F. Musil1.801111113 WMay 11 · 15:50F. Musil1.6711131411123R. Zeman2.10915169102

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