TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12482027
Played Aug 24Finished
Ondrej Sebek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116116611711118
Filip Musil
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:46 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Musil to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Sebek above · Filip Musil below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Filip Musil at 64.7%
88 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Musil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sebek 1273 vs Musil 1510
Musil
Wrong
both rated, 237 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sebek 40% vs Musil 100%
Musil
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sebek 40% vs Musil 80%
Musil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sebek -3 · Musil +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Musil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Musil form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSebek 2.20 / Musil 1.61
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Musil)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12482027
Sebek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 18 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Musil1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 23 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSebekMusilBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 376 vs 119 / 21549.5%55.4%186 / 376 vs 119 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MusilSebek 2.20/Musil 1.61
Miss
What we said
64.7%
Musil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sebek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Sebek10
WSep 3 · 17:25J. Brynych1.2811681172O. Sebek3.50611117113WSep 3 · 16:20J. Rolik1.571110110O. Sebek2.251312133LSep 3 · 15:50M. Nemec1.3311118113O. Sebek3.25871191LSep 3 · 14:50O. Sebek3.2511640J. Brynych1.331311113LAug 28 · 13:23J. Brynych1.5013117183O. Sebek2.5011411161LAug 28 · 12:20O. Sebek2.63411461J. Brynych1.4411711113LAug 28 · 11:20O. Sebek2.256870F. Musil1.571111113LAug 28 · 10:20O. Sebek2.2081111352J. Rolik1.61119911113LAug 24 · 13:59M. Nemec1.53911711113O. Sebek2.3811511932WAug 24 · 12:20J. Rolik1.57810131192O. Sebek2.251112114113
F. Musil10
WAug 28 · 13:55F. Musil1.6512912113J. Rolik2.1010111081WAug 28 · 12:50F. Musil1.61412116113J. Rolik2.20111051192WAug 28 · 11:20O. Sebek2.256870F. Musil1.571111113WAug 28 · 10:50J. Brynych2.20711111162F. Musil1.61111348113LAug 24 · 13:28J. Rolik2.00913911113F. Musil1.73111111982WAug 24 · 12:50F. Musil1.447111212113M. Nemec2.63115141042LAug 24 · 11:20J. Rolik2.25911149113F. Musil1.57115121192WMay 11 · 17:50F. Musil1.61116911113R. Zeman2.2071111462WMay 11 · 16:50A. Krcil1.918790F. Musil1.801111113WMay 11 · 15:50F. Musil1.6711131411123R. Zeman2.10915169102
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