TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12465492
Played Aug 21Finished
Blazej Warpas
Home
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911911––––
Mateusz Misiak
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Misiak to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
811911911––––
H2H Blazej Warpas 5–10 Mateusz Misiak Blazej Warpas has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Misiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-10 in 15
Misiak
Correct
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1271 vs Misiak 1391
Misiak
Correct
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 20% vs Misiak 80%
Misiak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 50% vs Misiak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas -2 · Misiak +3
Misiak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Misiak) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warpas form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 2.85 / Misiak 1.36
Signal prob.17% / 84%
Edge (Misiak)+15.8pp
TT Elite Series · #12465492
Warpas2.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 118 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 88
Misiak1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 251 of 421
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it81% 202 of 249
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarpas4wins
AwayMisiak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMisiak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpas100%3 of 3
AwayMisiak85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas3Misiak7n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S2Warpas3Misiak7n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S3Warpas6Misiak4n = 10Warpas took 6 of 10
S4Warpas2Misiak4n = 6Misiak took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarpasMisiakW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.136.8−4.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 802 vs 1085 / 205552.1%52.8%418 / 802 vs 1085 / 2055Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakWarpas 2.85/Misiak 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.5%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Misiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 13:30B. Warpas—68100M. Misiak—1111123
LJul 31 · 06:30B. Warpas—21170M. Misiak—1113113
WJul 7 · 13:55B. Warpas—1111113M. Misiak—9550
WJun 15 · 01:00B. Warpas—51311113M. Misiak—1111881
LJun 14 · 22:35B. Warpas—1211351M. Misiak—14811113
WJun 14 · 20:30B. Warpas—11811113M. Misiak—911961
LJun 14 · 01:25B. Warpas—9630M. Misiak—1111113
LJun 13 · 22:55B. Warpas—61111111M. Misiak—11138133
WMay 17 · 19:25B. Warpas—119113113M. Misiak—61181172
LMar 5 · 16:25B. Warpas—481171M. Misiak—11119113
B. Warpas10
WAug 21 · 13:55B. Warpas1.9011136113A. Mugowski1.768111151LAug 21 · 12:40B. Warpas2.90101171292M. Minda1.351291110113LAug 21 · 11:25B. Warpas3.205860M. Misiak1.301111113LAug 21 · 10:10D. Solilo1.3711115113B. Warpas2.87991171WAug 21 · 09:25B. Warpas2.4671111123R. Stapor1.461189101LAug 21 · 08:35B. Warpas1.951310111152A. Mugowski1.75151278113WAug 21 · 06:55B. Warpas2.25114117113B. Sulkowski1.5541191192WAug 21 · 05:40B. Warpas1.661111113M. Lukaszewski2.055880LAug 21 · 04:10B. Warpas1.7411791172K. Sulkowski1.94311116113LAug 20 · 07:40B. Warpas2.408690I. Dabrowski1.471111113
M. Misiak10
LSep 4 · 14:40M. Misiak2.80119691A. Lilien1.3791111113WSep 4 · 13:05M. Misiak1.221111113M. Lukaszewski3.704840LSep 4 · 11:50M. Misiak2.6071160M. Minda1.411113113WSep 4 · 10:10M. Misiak1.511111123A. Myszewski2.4087100LSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113WSep 4 · 07:40K. Klocek2.307121091M. Misiak1.55111012113LSep 4 · 06:55A. Myszewski2.4081211113M. Misiak1.501110431WSep 4 · 06:05M. Misiak1.2511119113M. Lukaszewski3.45771121LSep 4 · 04:30M. Misiak2.4031181192B. Sulkowski1.50117116113WAug 21 · 11:25B. Warpas3.205860M. Misiak1.301111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Warpas
Nothing scheduled
M. Misiak1 of 2 neutral
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