TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12469616
Played Aug 21Finished
Blazej Warpas
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121197111210911
Michal Minda
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:35 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Minda to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
10121197111210911
H2H Blazej Warpas 1–3 Michal Minda Blazej Warpas has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:35What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Minda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Minda
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1259 vs Minda 1545
Minda
Correct
both rated, 286 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 40% vs Minda 80%
Minda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 30% vs Minda 70%
Minda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas -2 · Minda +4
Minda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Minda) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 2.90 / Minda 1.35
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Minda)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12469616
Warpas2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 117 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 156
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Minda1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 285 of 480
Up 2–0, closes it97% 122 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it80% 211 of 265
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWarpas1wins
AwayMinda3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMinda leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpasn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMinda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas1Minda3n = 4Minda took 3 of 4
S2Warpas2Minda2n = 4split evenly
S3Warpas1Minda3n = 4Minda took 3 of 4
S4Warpas2Minda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWarpasMindaW − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match43.846.0−2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasMindaBasisWin rate · lifetime421 / 810 vs 1032 / 202252%51%421 / 810 vs 1032 / 2022Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaWarpas 2.90/Minda 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.2%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Minda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 5 · 09:00B. Warpas—7101161M. Minda—11129113
LJun 12 · 09:50B. Warpas—118141162M. Minda—811167113
LApr 18 · 09:00B. Warpas—71111101M. Minda—11913123
WMar 5 · 18:20B. Warpas—9111011113M. Minda—11712762
B. Warpas10
WAug 21 · 13:55B. Warpas1.9011136113A. Mugowski1.768111151LAug 21 · 11:25B. Warpas3.205860M. Misiak1.301111113LAug 21 · 10:10D. Solilo1.3711115113B. Warpas2.87991171WAug 21 · 09:25B. Warpas2.4671111123R. Stapor1.461189101LAug 21 · 08:35B. Warpas1.951310111152A. Mugowski1.75151278113WAug 21 · 06:55B. Warpas2.25114117113B. Sulkowski1.5541191192WAug 21 · 05:40B. Warpas1.661111113M. Lukaszewski2.055880LAug 21 · 04:10B. Warpas1.7411791172K. Sulkowski1.94311116113LAug 21 · 03:00B. Warpas2.858990M. Misiak1.361111113LAug 20 · 07:40B. Warpas2.408690I. Dabrowski1.471111113
M. Minda10
WSep 9 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.909101161M. Minda1.1911129113LSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171LSep 9 · 11:00M. Minda1.83991171P. Blocho1.8611117113WSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Minda1.85781191B. Czerwinski1.8511117113LSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda1.90911291D. Solilo1.8011911113WSep 9 · 05:35M. Minda1.8311611113P. Blocho1.86911951LSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113LSep 8 · 08:05M. Minda1.7610670A. Lilien1.881211113
Upcoming Matches
B. Warpas
Nothing scheduled
M. Minda
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