TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12468703
Played Aug 21Finished
Blazej Warpas
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114411119711119
Bartosz Sulkowski
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:26 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
114411119711119
H2H Blazej Warpas 7–8 Bartosz Sulkowski Blazej Warpas has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1271 vs Sulkowski 1439
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 20% vs Sulkowski 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 40% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas +1 · Sulkowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 2.25 / Sulkowski 1.55
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sulkowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12468703
Warpas2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 120 of 280
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 91
Sulkowski1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 195 of 346
Up 2–0, closes it98% 90 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it82% 146 of 178
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarpas4wins
AwaySulkowski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpas80%4 of 5
AwaySulkowski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Warpas1Sulkowski9n = 10Sulkowski took 9 of 10
S3Warpas5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Warpas3Sulkowski4n = 7Sulkowski took 4 of 7
S5Warpas3Sulkowski2n = 5Warpas took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarpasSulkowskiW − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.1−4.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 812 vs 507 / 115952%43.7%422 / 812 vs 507 / 1159Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiWarpas 2.25/Sulkowski 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.2%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Warpas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 06:55B. Warpas—114117113B. Sulkowski—41191192
LAug 13 · 04:10B. Warpas—37110B. Sulkowski—1111133
WAug 12 · 08:35B. Warpas—11611113B. Sulkowski—811791
LAug 10 · 03:00B. Warpas—1111119132B. Sulkowski—138911153
LAug 8 · 19:20B. Warpas—5690B. Sulkowski—1111113
WAug 7 · 14:40B. Warpas—156117113B. Sulkowski—131191192
LAug 7 · 03:50B. Warpas—113661B. Sulkowski—81111113
LAug 5 · 14:40B. Warpas—6990B. Sulkowski—1111113
WJul 24 · 06:05B. Warpas—119611113B. Sulkowski—91111682
LJul 24 · 03:50B. Warpas—961111102B. Sulkowski—111175123
B. Warpas10
WAug 21 · 13:55B. Warpas1.9011136113A. Mugowski1.768111151LAug 21 · 12:40B. Warpas2.90101171292M. Minda1.351291110113LAug 21 · 11:25B. Warpas3.205860M. Misiak1.301111113LAug 21 · 10:10D. Solilo1.3711115113B. Warpas2.87991171WAug 21 · 09:25B. Warpas2.4671111123R. Stapor1.461189101LAug 21 · 08:35B. Warpas1.951310111152A. Mugowski1.75151278113WAug 21 · 05:40B. Warpas1.661111113M. Lukaszewski2.055880LAug 21 · 04:10B. Warpas1.7411791172K. Sulkowski1.94311116113LAug 21 · 03:00B. Warpas2.858990M. Misiak1.361111113LAug 20 · 07:40B. Warpas2.408690I. Dabrowski1.471111113
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski2.45851131D. Solilo1.4511118113LSep 9 · 06:25B. Sulkowski2.206870P. Blocho1.571111113WSep 9 · 05:15B. Sulkowski1.8291111113R. Stapor1.90118661WSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:20B. Sulkowski2.301051181B. Czerwinski1.5512118113WSep 8 · 14:40S. Brud1.60611961B. Sulkowski2.1511711113LSep 8 · 13:30B. Sulkowski1.7431151182A. Myszewski1.95115116113LSep 8 · 12:15A. Sobel1.60111110113B. Sulkowski2.15961261WSep 8 · 11:00A. Lilien1.8010911111B. Sulkowski1.9012116133WSep 8 · 09:25J. Glanowski1.87118781B. Sulkowski1.8351111113
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