TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12468237
Played Aug 21Finished
Blazej Warpas
Home
1.74
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113711911116711
Karol Sulkowski
Away
1.94
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
113711911116711
H2H Blazej Warpas 7–7 Karol Sulkowski Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:44What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Warpas
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1262 vs Sulkowski 1268
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 20% vs Sulkowski 40%
Sulkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 40% vs Sulkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas -3 · Sulkowski -1
Warpas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Warpas) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 1.74 / Sulkowski 1.94
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Warpas)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #12468237
Warpas1.74
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 258 of 457
Up 2–0, closes it98% 131 of 134
Up 1–0, closes it80% 190 of 239
Sulkowski1.94
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 163 of 439
Down 0–1, comes back16% 42 of 259
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 141
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarpas4wins
AwaySulkowski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpasn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulkowski75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas2Sulkowski8n = 10Sulkowski took 8 of 10
S2Warpas3Sulkowski7n = 10Sulkowski took 7 of 10
S3Warpas6Sulkowski4n = 10Warpas took 6 of 10
S4Warpas2Sulkowski4n = 6Sulkowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarpasSulkowskiW − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.138.5−3.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 803 vs 584 / 118252.1%49.4%418 / 803 vs 584 / 1182Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarpasWarpas 1.74/Sulkowski 1.94
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Warpas · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 03:25B. Warpas—8960K. Sulkowski—1111113
WAug 19 · 08:10B. Warpas—861111123K. Sulkowski—111199102
LAug 13 · 06:50B. Warpas—8790K. Sulkowski—1111113
LAug 12 · 07:20B. Warpas—821171K. Sulkowski—11115113
WAug 11 · 04:10B. Warpas—1110118113K. Sulkowski—91291172
LAug 10 · 04:10B. Warpas—118100K. Sulkowski—1311123
WAug 9 · 14:20B. Warpas—31111113K. Sulkowski—114981
LAug 7 · 07:40B. Warpas—911791K. Sulkowski—11711113
WAug 6 · 12:40B. Warpas—1116123K. Sulkowski—914100
LJul 24 · 09:00B. Warpas—1271171K. Sulkowski—14116113
B. Warpas10
WAug 21 · 13:55B. Warpas1.9011136113A. Mugowski1.768111151LAug 21 · 12:40B. Warpas2.90101171292M. Minda1.351291110113LAug 21 · 11:25B. Warpas3.205860M. Misiak1.301111113LAug 21 · 10:10D. Solilo1.3711115113B. Warpas2.87991171WAug 21 · 09:25B. Warpas2.4671111123R. Stapor1.461189101LAug 21 · 08:35B. Warpas1.951310111152A. Mugowski1.75151278113WAug 21 · 06:55B. Warpas2.25114117113B. Sulkowski1.5541191192WAug 21 · 05:40B. Warpas1.661111113M. Lukaszewski2.055880LAug 21 · 03:00B. Warpas2.858990M. Misiak1.361111113LAug 20 · 07:40B. Warpas2.408690I. Dabrowski1.471111113
K. Sulkowski10
WSep 9 · 08:35M. Zwolinski2.50611671K. Sulkowski1.4711711113LSep 9 · 07:20K. Sulkowski1.801071191A. Szoltysek1.8612116113WSep 9 · 06:05A. Lilien1.501111891K. Sulkowski2.4013111113LSep 9 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski2.4311118113K. Sulkowski1.45671171LSep 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.101211113K. Sulkowski1.6510990LSep 8 · 07:40K. Sulkowski1.85611871D. Wrobel1.8511611113WSep 8 · 06:30K. Sulkowski2.051111113R. Stapor1.656860LSep 8 · 05:15K. Sulkowski1.9591060A. Myszewski1.741112113WSep 8 · 04:10J. Glanowski1.90711119112K. Sulkowski1.75116711133LSep 8 · 03:25K. Sulkowski2.208650A. Linek1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Warpas
Nothing scheduled
K. Sulkowski1 of 1 neutral
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