TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384783
Played Aug 9Finished
Hennadii Buianover
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11712101412––––
Volodymyr Kruglyak
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeHennadii Buianover to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHennadii Buianover above · Volodymyr Kruglyak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 66 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Hennadii Buianover at 58.7%
66 points played in total.
H2H Hennadii Buianover 50–28 Volodymyr Kruglyak Volodymyr Kruglyak has won 28 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Buianover
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-28 in 78
Buianover
Correct
gap of 22 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buianover 1174 vs Kruglyak 1144
Buianover
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buianover 0% vs Kruglyak 40%
Kruglyak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buianover 20% vs Kruglyak 50%
Kruglyak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buianover -5 · Kruglyak -1
Buianover
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Buianover) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuianover 1.67 / Kruglyak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Buianover)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12384783
Buianover1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Kruglyak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 28 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuianover6wins
AwayKruglyak4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBuianover leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuianover80%4 of 5
AwayKruglyak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buianover5Kruglyak5n = 10split evenly
S2Buianover4Kruglyak6n = 10Kruglyak took 6 of 10
S3Buianover4Kruglyak6n = 10Kruglyak took 6 of 10
S4Buianover6Kruglyak2n = 8Buianover took 6 of 8
S5Buianover3Kruglyak2n = 5Buianover took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuianoverKruglyakB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.840.9+0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuianoverKruglyakBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 372 vs 81 / 26640.3%30.5%150 / 372 vs 81 / 266Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.134.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverBuianover 1.67/Kruglyak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 16:35H. Buianover46851111113V. Kruglyak4611118882
WJul 23 · 19:35H. Buianover3811115113V. Kruglyak35981171
WJul 13 · 14:35H. Buianover4581111153V. Kruglyak341137131
LJun 28 · 13:55H. Buianover259880V. Kruglyak331111113
WJun 15 · 14:35H. Buianover4211119113V. Kruglyak34771191
WJun 4 · 18:05H. Buianover521111109113V. Kruglyak4669121182
WMay 31 · 12:35H. Buianover501112115113V. Kruglyak4431481182
LMay 28 · 15:05H. Buianover4569131162V. Kruglyak511111117113
LMay 4 · 14:35H. Buianover3015870V. Kruglyak391711113
LApr 29 · 14:35H. Buianover4511861192V. Kruglyak47511119113
H. Buianover10
LSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113WSep 9 · 19:35H. Buianover1.671211113M. Karelov2.1010990LSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192LSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov1.1771111113H. Buianover4.50117941LSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva1.57101050H. Buianover2.251212113LSep 2 · 18:35H. Buianover4.50871141V. Leonov1.1711117113LSep 2 · 17:05H. Buianover2.102650V. Reva1.671111113WSep 2 · 15:35H. Buianover1.731131111113M. Karelov2.0011151392LSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123
V. Kruglyak10
WSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LAug 10 · 19:05V. Leonov1.101111113V. Kruglyak6.508670LAug 10 · 18:05V. Reva1.2012136113V. Kruglyak4.3310111101WAug 10 · 16:35M. Karelov2.2010950V. Kruglyak1.611211113WAug 10 · 14:35H. Buianover1.571011861V. Kruglyak2.2512911113LAug 10 · 12:35V. Lukianevych1.36131211113V. Kruglyak3.001510661WAug 9 · 19:05M. Karelov2.201211761V. Kruglyak1.6114911113LAug 9 · 18:05V. Reva1.201111113V. Kruglyak4.338850LAug 9 · 14:35A. Sydorenko1.1791111113V. Kruglyak4.50115581WAug 9 · 12:35S. Paksiutov1.839490V. Kruglyak1.831111113
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