TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12384745
Played Aug 9Finished
Andrii Sydorenko 1979
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115115118––
Volodymyr Kruglyak
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:14 and never touched — 90.2% is still 90.2%
Graded at full timeAndrii Sydorenko 1979 to win
90.2%
90.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Sydorenko 1979 above · Volodymyr Kruglyak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 71 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Sydorenko 1979 at 90.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Sydorenko 1979 47–5 Volodymyr Kruglyak Volodymyr Kruglyak has won 5 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:14What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Sydorenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-5 in 52
Sydorenko
Correct
gap of 42 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorenko 1311 vs Kruglyak 1143
Sydorenko
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorenko 60% vs Kruglyak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorenko 70% vs Kruglyak 50%
Sydorenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorenko +1 · Kruglyak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Sydorenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kruglyak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorenko 1.17 / Kruglyak 4.50
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Sydorenko)+10.8pp
Setka Cup · #12384745
Sydorenko1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 82 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it80% 57 of 71
Kruglyak4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 28 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorenko9wins
AwayKruglyak1wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSydorenko leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorenko100%5 of 5
AwayKruglyak20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorenko5Kruglyak5n = 10split evenly
S2Sydorenko7Kruglyak3n = 10Sydorenko took 7 of 10
S3Sydorenko4Kruglyak6n = 10Kruglyak took 6 of 10
S4Sydorenko5Kruglyak2n = 7Sydorenko took 5 of 7
S5Sydorenko6Kruglyak0n = 6Sydorenko took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorenkoKruglyakS − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.938.0+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorenkoKruglyakBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 314 vs 80 / 26362.7%30.4%197 / 314 vs 80 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.034.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SydorenkoSydorenko 1.17/Kruglyak 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.2%
Sydorenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 18:35A. Sydorenko2346130V. Kruglyak371111153
WJul 23 · 13:05A. Sydorenko3851111113V. Kruglyak34117971
WJul 7 · 14:35A. Sydorenko49881111113V. Kruglyak4511117792
WJun 15 · 18:05A. Sydorenko351111133V. Kruglyak2256110
WJun 4 · 19:05A. Sydorenko52912911113V. Kruglyak44111011842
WMay 31 · 14:05A. Sydorenko45121156113V. Kruglyak43108111132
WMay 28 · 18:35A. Sydorenko538111111123V. Kruglyak45115136102
WMay 20 · 12:35A. Sydorenko49111359113V. Kruglyak43811111122
WMay 4 · 16:35A. Sydorenko521181111113V. Kruglyak4561113692
WApr 29 · 17:35A. Sydorenko331111113V. Kruglyak226970
A. Sydorenko10
LSep 9 · 18:35V. Leonov1.531311113A. Sydorenko2.3811560WSep 9 · 17:35A. Sydorenko1.28911116113H. Buianover3.5011881192WSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 15:05A. Sydorenko1.67111112113V. Reva2.10381451LSep 9 · 13:05A. Sydorenko1.22115371M. Karelov4.0061111113WSep 2 · 19:35M. Karelov4.0048141122A. Sydorenko1.221111129113WSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272LSep 2 · 16:05V. Reva2.10111156113A. Sydorenko1.6743111192WSep 2 · 14:05H. Buianover3.759411101A. Sydorenko1.2511113123WSep 2 · 13:05V. Leonov1.445111041A. Sydorenko2.6311512113
V. Kruglyak10
WSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LAug 10 · 19:05V. Leonov1.101111113V. Kruglyak6.508670LAug 10 · 18:05V. Reva1.2012136113V. Kruglyak4.3310111101WAug 10 · 16:35M. Karelov2.2010950V. Kruglyak1.611211113WAug 10 · 14:35H. Buianover1.571011861V. Kruglyak2.2512911113LAug 10 · 12:35V. Lukianevych1.36131211113V. Kruglyak3.001510661WAug 9 · 19:05M. Karelov2.201211761V. Kruglyak1.6114911113LAug 9 · 18:05V. Reva1.201111113V. Kruglyak4.338850LAug 9 · 16:35H. Buianover1.671112143V. Kruglyak2.10710120WAug 9 · 12:35S. Paksiutov1.839490V. Kruglyak1.831111113
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