TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392778
Played Aug 10Finished
Valerii Lukianevych
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13151210116116––
Volodymyr Kruglyak
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:25 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Volodymyr Kruglyak below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 84 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 61.6%
84 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 53–24 Volodymyr Kruglyak Volodymyr Kruglyak has won 24 of their 77 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lukianevych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-24 in 77
Lukianevych
Correct
gap of 29 in 77, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1339 vs Kruglyak 1130
Lukianevych
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 80% vs Kruglyak 40%
Lukianevych
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 70% vs Kruglyak 40%
Lukianevych
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych +1 · Kruglyak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Lukianevych) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.36 / Kruglyak 3.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Lukianevych)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12392778
Lukianevych1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 62 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Kruglyak3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 29 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych9wins
AwayKruglyak1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLukianevych leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych100%9 of 9
AwayKruglyakn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych9Kruglyak1n = 10Lukianevych took 9 of 10
S2Lukianevych8Kruglyak2n = 10Lukianevych took 8 of 10
S3Lukianevych5Kruglyak5n = 10split evenly
S4Lukianevych4Kruglyak2n = 6Lukianevych took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychKruglyakL − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.832.0+7.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychKruglyakBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 396 vs 81 / 26750.3%30.3%199 / 396 vs 81 / 267Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.234.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.36/Kruglyak 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.8%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lukianevych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 13:05V. Lukianevych331111113V. Kruglyak216960
LJul 23 · 18:05V. Lukianevych344111091V. Kruglyak4311912113
WJul 13 · 15:35V. Lukianevych331111113V. Kruglyak209650
WJul 7 · 12:35V. Lukianevych5713111012113V. Kruglyak50116121472
WJun 4 · 16:35V. Lukianevych4111115143V. Kruglyak292411121
WMay 31 · 18:35V. Lukianevych4312119113V. Kruglyak351081161
WMay 28 · 13:05V. Lukianevych4211911113V. Kruglyak31711761
WMay 20 · 16:35V. Lukianevych331111113V. Kruglyak229760
WMay 4 · 12:35V. Lukianevych491110611113V. Kruglyak4761211992
WApr 22 · 12:35V. Lukianevych331111113V. Kruglyak227780
V. Lukianevych10
WSep 13 · 13:05H. Buianover2.75711591V. Lukianevych1.4011811113LSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740WSep 9 · 18:05M. Karelov2.75910110V. Lukianevych1.401112133LSep 9 · 16:35A. Sydorenko1.5011114113V. Lukianevych2.50961191WSep 9 · 14:35H. Buianover2.38137381V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 9 · 12:35V. Leonov2.38913371V. Lukianevych1.53111111113WSep 2 · 19:05V. Reva1.73111112982V. Lukianevych2.00871411113LSep 2 · 18:05A. Sydorenko1.441191110113V. Lukianevych2.6331171272WSep 2 · 16:35V. Leonov2.2061470V. Lukianevych1.611116113WSep 2 · 14:35M. Karelov2.6371040V. Lukianevych1.441112113
V. Kruglyak10
WSep 13 · 12:35V. Melnyk3.504870V. Kruglyak1.281111113LAug 10 · 19:05V. Leonov1.101111113V. Kruglyak6.508670LAug 10 · 18:05V. Reva1.2012136113V. Kruglyak4.3310111101WAug 10 · 16:35M. Karelov2.2010950V. Kruglyak1.611211113WAug 10 · 14:35H. Buianover1.571011861V. Kruglyak2.2512911113WAug 9 · 19:05M. Karelov2.201211761V. Kruglyak1.6114911113LAug 9 · 18:05V. Reva1.201111113V. Kruglyak4.338850LAug 9 · 16:35H. Buianover1.671112143V. Kruglyak2.10710120LAug 9 · 14:35A. Sydorenko1.1791111113V. Kruglyak4.50115581WAug 9 · 12:35S. Paksiutov1.839490V. Kruglyak1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
V. Lukianevych
V. Kruglyak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.