TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12354348
Played Aug 4Finished
Karl Zimmermann
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116111113––––
Lars Hubner
Away
9.00
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:35 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeKarl Zimmermann to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarl Zimmermann above · Lars Hubner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 43 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Karl Zimmermann at 57.1%
43 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Zimmermann
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Zimmermann 1532 vs Hubner 1097
Zimmermann
Correct
both rated, 434 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zimmermann 60% vs Hubner 0%
Zimmermann
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zimmermann 50% vs Hubner 20%
Zimmermann
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zimmermann -1 · Hubner -5
Hubner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Zimmermann) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubner form (0%) is below what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZimmermann 1.04 / Hubner 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Zimmermann)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12354348
Zimmermann1.04
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Hubner9.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricZimmermannHubnerBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 26 vs 2 / 1450%14.3%13 / 26 vs 2 / 14Avg sets wonper match1.80.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.126.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZimmermannZimmermann 1.04/Hubner 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Zimmermann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zimmermann won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Zimmermann10
LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113WAug 31 · 07:30M. Henninger1.80613181K. Zimmermann1.91111111113LAug 7 · 11:00A. Mino1.08117611113K. Zimmermann5.4061111622
L. Hubner10
LAug 4 · 07:00L. Hubner9.004191451M. Neumaier1.04111716113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Mino1.011111113L. Hubner12.008760LAug 3 · 13:30L. Kraus1.0611117113L. Hubner8.00641151LAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:00M. Nogami1.131111123L. Hubner5.5033100LAug 3 · 07:00J. Willeke1.101111113L. Hubner6.509860LJul 24 · 08:00L. Hubner10.00671361D. Rinderer1.03111111113LJul 23 · 17:00L. Hubner9.0091140J. Loffler1.041113113WJul 23 · 15:30L. Hubner2.4011913133S. Amann1.5091111111WJul 23 · 14:59L. Hubner2.5011913133S. Amann1.5091111111
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