TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12288594
Played Jul 24Finished
Lars Hubner
Home
10.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–5Last 7Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6117111311611––
Daniel Rinderer
Away
1.03
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeDaniel Rinderer to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLars Hubner above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Daniel Rinderer at 71.6%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Rinderer
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hubner 1235 vs Rinderer 1877
Rinderer
Correct
both rated, 641 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubner 40% vs Rinderer 100%
Rinderer
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubner 29% vs Rinderer 80%
Rinderer
Correct
51pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubner -1 · Rinderer +5
Rinderer
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Rinderer) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubner form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (10%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubner 10.00 / Rinderer 1.03
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Rinderer)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12288594
Hubner10.00
29%won 2 of 7 · last 10
oldest → newest
29%takes the first set · 2 of 7
Rinderer1.03
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubnerRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 7 vs 116 / 16628.6%69.9%2 / 7 vs 116 / 166Avg sets wonper match1.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match27.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererHubner 10.00/Rinderer 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.7%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rinderer won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Hubner10
LAug 4 · 08:00K. Zimmermann1.041111113L. Hubner9.006130LAug 4 · 07:00L. Hubner9.004191451M. Neumaier1.04111716113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Mino1.011111113L. Hubner12.008760LAug 3 · 13:30L. Kraus1.0611117113L. Hubner8.00641151LAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:00M. Nogami1.131111123L. Hubner5.5033100LAug 3 · 07:00J. Willeke1.101111113L. Hubner6.509860LJul 23 · 17:00L. Hubner9.0091140J. Loffler1.041113113WJul 23 · 15:30L. Hubner2.4011913133S. Amann1.5091111111WJul 23 · 14:59L. Hubner2.5011913133S. Amann1.5091111111
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 24 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.201111113L. Kraus4.009680
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