TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12288595
Played Jul 23Finished
Lars Hubner
Home
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–4Last 5Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11991113111311––
Samuel Amann
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:00 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeLars Hubner to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
11991113111311––
H2H Lars Hubner 1–0 Samuel Amann Samuel Amann has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Amann
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hubner 1153 vs Amann 1144
Hubner
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubner 20% vs Amann 0%
Hubner
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubner 20% vs Amann 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubner +1 · Amann -5
Amann
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Amann) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Amann form (0%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubner 2.40 / Amann 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Amann)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12288595
Hubner2.40
20%won 1 of 5 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 1 of 5
Amann1.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHubner1wins
AwayAmann0wins
Hubner leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHubnerAmannH − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.042.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubnerAmannBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 17 / 8020%21.3%1 / 5 vs 17 / 80Avg sets wonper match0.81.2per matchAvg pointsper match24.831.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AmannHubner 2.40/Amann 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Amann · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 14:59L. Hubner—11913133S. Amann—91111111
L. Hubner10
LAug 4 · 08:00K. Zimmermann1.041111113L. Hubner9.006130LAug 4 · 07:00L. Hubner9.004191451M. Neumaier1.04111716113LAug 3 · 15:30A. Mino1.011111113L. Hubner12.008760LAug 3 · 13:30L. Kraus1.0611117113L. Hubner8.00641151LAug 3 · 12:00J. Loffler—1111113L. Hubner—5860LAug 3 · 09:00M. Nogami1.131111123L. Hubner5.5033100LAug 3 · 07:00J. Willeke1.101111113L. Hubner6.509860LJul 24 · 08:00L. Hubner10.00671361D. Rinderer1.03111111113LJul 23 · 17:00L. Hubner9.0091140J. Loffler1.041113113WJul 23 · 14:59L. Hubner2.5011913133S. Amann1.5091111111
S. Amann10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Almeida—1111113S. Amann—9630LAug 31 · 16:30M. Henninger1.0811911113S. Amann7.00511431LAug 31 · 15:00A. Limonov1.041111113S. Amann9.002860LAug 31 · 13:30S. Amann8.504740K. Fadeev1.05111183LAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113LAug 31 · 10:30S. Amann2.10118771M. Stefanidis1.6651111113WAug 31 · 08:00M. Gremillion1.3611341362S. Amann3.008111111113LAug 11 · 06:30J. Willeke1.201111113S. Amann4.334870LAug 10 · 14:00M. Stefanidis1.3211611113S. Amann3.00811891LJul 23 · 14:59L. Hubner2.5011913133S. Amann1.5091111111
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